Stanley Black Decker Stock Price Prediction
| SWK Stock | USD 87.67 2.25 2.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 19 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.1476 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5743 | Wall Street Target Price 105.4913 |
Using Stanley Black hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stanley Black Decker from the perspective of Stanley Black response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Stanley Black Decker Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stanley Black's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stanley. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stanley can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stanley Black Decker. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stanley Black's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stanley Black.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stanley Black to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stanley because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Stanley Black after-hype prediction price | USD 88.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Stanley |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stanley Black's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stanley Black After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stanley Black at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stanley Black or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stanley Black, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stanley Black Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stanley Black's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stanley Black's historical news coverage. Stanley Black's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.40 and 89.98, respectively. We have considered Stanley Black's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stanley Black is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stanley Black Decker is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stanley Black Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stanley Black is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stanley Black backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stanley Black, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.80 | 0.55 | 0.24 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
87.67 | 88.19 | 0.59 |
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Stanley Black Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Stanley Black Decker is traded for 87.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.55, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Stanley is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 88.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 62.28%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Stanley Black is about 140.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.43. The company reported the last year's revenue of 15.78 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (281.7 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.41 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Stanley Black Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Stanley Black Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stanley Black's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stanley Black's future price movements. Getting to know how Stanley Black's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stanley Black may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KMT | Kennametal | (1.71) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.05 | 2.76 | (2.06) | 23.53 | |
| SKFRY | AB SKF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | (0.03) | 2.72 | (3.28) | 11.40 | |
| EML | Eastern Co | (1.66) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.10 | (3.42) | 12.25 | |
| TKR | Timken Company | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.64 | (2.47) | 16.50 | |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | (6.32) | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0 | 3.09 | (2.12) | 9.04 | |
| TTC | Toro Co | 0.28 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.93 | (2.19) | 11.51 | |
| SNA | Snap On | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 2.22 | (0.96) | 10.93 |
Stanley Black Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stanley price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stanley using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stanley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Stanley Black Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Stanley Black stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stanley Black Decker, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stanley Black based on analysis of Stanley Black hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stanley Black's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stanley Black's related companies. | 2016 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0198 | 0.0424 | 0.0487 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.47 | 0.66 | 0.59 |
Story Coverage note for Stanley Black
The number of cover stories for Stanley Black depends on current market conditions and Stanley Black's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stanley Black is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stanley Black's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Stanley Black Short Properties
Stanley Black's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stanley Black's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stanley Black Decker often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stanley Black's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stanley Black's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 454 M |
Check out Stanley Black Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stanley Black. If investors know Stanley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stanley Black listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 19 | Dividend Share 3.25 | Earnings Share (1.24) | Revenue Per Share 102.347 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Stanley Black Decker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stanley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stanley Black's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stanley Black's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stanley Black's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stanley Black's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stanley Black's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stanley Black is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stanley Black's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.