Blue Jet Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BLUEJET Stock   525.75  2.45  0.46%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blue Jet Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 524.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 744.90. Blue Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Blue Jet's Accounts Payable is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Cash is likely to gain to about 556.5 M in 2024, whereas Other Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 413 M in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Blue Jet - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Blue Jet prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Blue Jet price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Blue Jet Healthcare.

Blue Jet Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blue Jet Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 524.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.42, mean absolute percentage error of 245.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 744.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blue Jet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Blue Jet Stock Forecast Pattern

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Blue Jet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Blue Jet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blue Jet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 521.38 and 526.82, respectively. We have considered Blue Jet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
525.75
521.38
Downside
524.10
Expected Value
526.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blue Jet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blue Jet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.6926
MADMean absolute deviation12.4151
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0244
SAESum of the absolute errors744.9048
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Blue Jet observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Blue Jet Healthcare observations.

Predictive Modules for Blue Jet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Jet Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
522.34525.04527.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
430.89433.59578.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.983.213.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Blue Jet

For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Jet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Jet's price trends.

Blue Jet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blue Jet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blue Jet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Jet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Blue Jet Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Blue Jet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Blue Jet's current price.

Blue Jet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blue Jet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blue Jet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blue Jet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blue Jet Healthcare entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Blue Jet Risk Indicators

The analysis of Blue Jet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blue Jet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Blue Stock Analysis

When running Blue Jet's price analysis, check to measure Blue Jet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Jet is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Jet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Jet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Jet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Jet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.