Boralex Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| BLX Stock | CAD 25.00 0.75 2.91% |
Boralex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Boralex's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Boralex's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Boralex fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Boralex's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Boralex, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7414 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.6161 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2289 | Wall Street Target Price 35 |
Using Boralex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boralex from the perspective of Boralex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Boralex on the next trading day is expected to be 25.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.82. Boralex after-hype prediction price | CAD 24.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Boralex |
Boralex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boralex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boralex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boralex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Boralex Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Boralex on the next trading day is expected to be 25.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boralex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boralex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Boralex Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Boralex | Boralex Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Boralex Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Boralex's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boralex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.25 and 26.99, respectively. We have considered Boralex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boralex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boralex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7315 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4165 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.8248 |
Predictive Modules for Boralex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boralex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Boralex After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boralex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boralex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boralex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boralex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boralex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boralex's historical news coverage. Boralex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.12 and 26.86, respectively. We have considered Boralex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boralex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boralex is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boralex Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boralex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boralex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boralex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.87 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.00 | 24.99 | 0.04 |
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Boralex Hype Timeline
Boralex is currently traded for 25.00on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Boralex is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Boralex is about 278.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.90. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Boralex has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.22. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Boralex had 1:10 split on the 4th of April 1997. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boralex to cross-verify your projections.Boralex Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boralex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boralex's future price movements. Getting to know how Boralex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boralex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RGSI | Rockpoint Gas Storage | (0.07) | 2 per month | 1.38 | 0.03 | 4.27 | (2.50) | 9.73 | |
| PIF | Polaris Infrastructure | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.79 | (1.77) | 7.45 | |
| SPB | Superior Plus Corp | (6.67) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.66 | (1.99) | 22.36 | |
| LCFS | Tidewater Renewables | 0.18 | 7 per month | 2.48 | 0.07 | 6.23 | (4.16) | 16.61 | |
| REVV | ReVolve Renewable Power | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.88 | (5.88) | 26.11 | |
| GIP | Green Impact Partners | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.30 | (3.72) | 15.89 | |
| GRB | Greenbriar Capital Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 5.40 | 0.05 | 12.82 | (10.26) | 78.17 | |
| WEB | Westbridge Energy | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.44 | (4.04) | 8.47 | |
| AQN | Algonquin Power Utilities | (0.07) | 1 per month | 1.00 | 0.06 | 2.89 | (1.89) | 10.69 | |
| NPI | Northland Power | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.30 | (2.90) | 28.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Boralex
For every potential investor in Boralex, whether a beginner or expert, Boralex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boralex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boralex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boralex's price trends.Boralex Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boralex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boralex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boralex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Boralex Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boralex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boralex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boralex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boralex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17399.47 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.04) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.29 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.66) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.75) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.38 |
Boralex Risk Indicators
The analysis of Boralex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boralex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boralex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Boralex
The number of cover stories for Boralex depends on current market conditions and Boralex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boralex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boralex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boralex Short Properties
Boralex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boralex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boralex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boralex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boralex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 592 M |
Other Information on Investing in Boralex Stock
Boralex financial ratios help investors to determine whether Boralex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Boralex with respect to the benefits of owning Boralex security.