Northland Power Stock Price Prediction
| NPI Stock | CAD 19.13 0.15 0.78% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.567 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.68 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.348 | Wall Street Target Price 22 |
Using Northland Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northland Power from the perspective of Northland Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Northland Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Northland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Northland Power after-hype prediction price | CAD 19.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Northland |
Northland Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northland Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northland Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northland Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northland Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northland Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northland Power's historical news coverage. Northland Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.34 and 22.92, respectively. We have considered Northland Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northland Power is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northland Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northland Power Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northland Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northland Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northland Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 3.82 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.13 | 19.13 | 0.00 |
|
Northland Power Hype Timeline
Northland Power is now traded for 19.13on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Northland is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Northland Power is about 2292.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.07. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northland Power has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.57. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.09. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Northland Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Northland Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northland Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northland Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Northland Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northland Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AQN | Algonquin Power Utilities | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.97 | 0.03 | 2.89 | (1.84) | 10.69 | |
| BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corp | (2.11) | 9 per month | 1.54 | (0.04) | 2.84 | (2.44) | 9.70 | |
| ACO-X | ATCO | (0.07) | 3 per month | 0.72 | 0.05 | 1.47 | (1.27) | 4.78 | |
| TA | TransAlta Corp | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.24 | (5.06) | 14.79 | |
| CU | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.18 | 4 per month | 0.52 | 0.07 | 1.45 | (1.04) | 5.01 | |
| BIPC | Brookfield Infrastructure Corp | 0.59 | 7 per month | 1.17 | (0.03) | 2.15 | (2.12) | 7.62 | |
| BLX | Boralex | (0.07) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.01 | (3.55) | 7.74 | |
| BEP-UN | Brookfield Renewable Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.35 | (2.36) | 9.24 | |
| PIF | Polaris Infrastructure | (0.1) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.79 | (1.77) | 8.26 |
Northland Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Northland Power Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Northland Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Northland Power, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northland Power based on analysis of Northland Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Northland Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northland Power's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0347 | 0.0449 | 0.0516 | 0.0677 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.71 | 1.96 | 2.26 | 2.14 |
Pair Trading with Northland Power
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Northland Power position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northland Power will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Northland Stock
| 0.7 | AVR | Avaron Mining Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | TRP-PB | TC Energy Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | FFH | Fairfax Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | BRK | Berkshire Hathaway CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | TRP-PA | TC Energy Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | FFH-PI | Fairfax Financial | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Northland Power could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Northland Power when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Northland Power - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Northland Power to buy it.
The correlation of Northland Power is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Northland Power moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Northland Power moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Northland Power can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Northland Stock
Northland Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northland with respect to the benefits of owning Northland Power security.