Brenmiller Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BNRG Stock  USD 3.64  0.24  6.19%   
Brenmiller Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brenmiller Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Brenmiller Energy's share price is above 70 as of 26th of January 2026 suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Brenmiller, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 77

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Brenmiller Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Brenmiller Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Brenmiller Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brenmiller Energy Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brenmiller Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.61)
Using Brenmiller Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brenmiller Energy Ltd from the perspective of Brenmiller Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brenmiller Energy Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 5.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84.

Brenmiller Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brenmiller Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Brenmiller Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brenmiller price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brenmiller using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brenmiller charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Brenmiller Energy Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Brenmiller Energy's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2016-03-31
Previous Quarter
2.1 M
Current Value
2.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
3.6 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Brenmiller Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Brenmiller Energy Ltd value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Brenmiller Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brenmiller Energy Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 5.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brenmiller Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brenmiller Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brenmiller Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Brenmiller Energy  Brenmiller Energy Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Brenmiller Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Brenmiller Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brenmiller Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 85.50, respectively. We have considered Brenmiller Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.64
5.35
Expected Value
85.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brenmiller Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brenmiller Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3266
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2119
SAESum of the absolute errors12.8401
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Brenmiller Energy Ltd. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Brenmiller Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Brenmiller Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brenmiller Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.38367.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.39366.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-1.361.364.08
Details

Brenmiller Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Brenmiller Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brenmiller Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brenmiller Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Brenmiller Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Brenmiller Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brenmiller Energy's historical news coverage. Brenmiller Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 367.38, respectively. We have considered Brenmiller Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.64
3.38
After-hype Price
367.38
Upside
Brenmiller Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brenmiller Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Brenmiller Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brenmiller Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brenmiller Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brenmiller Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  8.52 
80.16
  0.26 
  0.17 
7 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.64
3.38
7.14 
267,200  
Notes

Brenmiller Energy Hype Timeline

Brenmiller Energy is currently traded for 3.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Brenmiller is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -7.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 8.52%. The volatility of related hype on Brenmiller Energy is about 400800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.81. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Brenmiller Energy was currently reported as 0.44. The company recorded a loss per share of 55.93. Brenmiller Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:7 split on the 26th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brenmiller Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Brenmiller Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Brenmiller Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brenmiller Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Brenmiller Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brenmiller Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HLGNHeliogen 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VGASVerde Clean Fuels(0.19)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.11 (8.24) 17.48 
CREGSmart Powerr Corp(0.09)6 per month 4.14  0.01  7.41 (6.99) 25.57 
ADNAdvent Technologies Holdings 0.04 6 per month 0.00 (0.16) 9.09 (12.28) 97.06 
SVRESaverOne 2014 Ltd 0.45 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 13.49 (10.19) 64.89 
GCTKGlucoTrack 0.06 7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 8.36 (8.64) 34.35 
HTCRHeartCore Enterprises(0.07)7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 9.52 (11.90) 37.69 
JFBRJeffs Brands 0.01 11 per month 0.00 (0.06) 13.75 (15.53) 166.56 
WLDSWearable Devices(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 10.53 (9.80) 53.88 

Other Forecasting Options for Brenmiller Energy

For every potential investor in Brenmiller, whether a beginner or expert, Brenmiller Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brenmiller Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brenmiller. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brenmiller Energy's price trends.

Brenmiller Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brenmiller Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brenmiller Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brenmiller Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brenmiller Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brenmiller Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brenmiller Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brenmiller Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brenmiller Energy Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Brenmiller Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Brenmiller Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brenmiller Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brenmiller stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Brenmiller Energy

The number of cover stories for Brenmiller Energy depends on current market conditions and Brenmiller Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brenmiller Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brenmiller Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Brenmiller Energy Short Properties

Brenmiller Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brenmiller Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brenmiller Energy Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brenmiller Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brenmiller Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.1 M
When determining whether Brenmiller Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Brenmiller Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Brenmiller Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Brenmiller Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brenmiller Energy to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brenmiller Energy. If investors know Brenmiller will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brenmiller Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(55.93)
Revenue Per Share
0.231
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.61)
Return On Assets
(0.63)
Return On Equity
(3.27)
The market value of Brenmiller Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brenmiller that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brenmiller Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brenmiller Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brenmiller Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brenmiller Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brenmiller Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brenmiller Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brenmiller Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.