BankUnited Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BNU Stock  EUR 39.80  0.80  1.97%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BankUnited on the next trading day is expected to be 40.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.86. BankUnited Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BankUnited's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for BankUnited works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

BankUnited Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BankUnited on the next trading day is expected to be 40.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 1.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BankUnited Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BankUnited's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BankUnited Stock Forecast Pattern

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BankUnited Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BankUnited's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BankUnited's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.21 and 42.90, respectively. We have considered BankUnited's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.80
40.06
Expected Value
42.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BankUnited stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BankUnited stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1417
MADMean absolute deviation0.6247
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors36.8576
When BankUnited prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any BankUnited trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent BankUnited observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for BankUnited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankUnited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.3541.2044.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6032.4545.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.3338.9941.64
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BankUnited

For every potential investor in BankUnited, whether a beginner or expert, BankUnited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BankUnited Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BankUnited. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BankUnited's price trends.

BankUnited Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BankUnited stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BankUnited could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BankUnited by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BankUnited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BankUnited's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BankUnited's current price.

BankUnited Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BankUnited stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BankUnited shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BankUnited stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BankUnited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BankUnited Risk Indicators

The analysis of BankUnited's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BankUnited's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankunited stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in BankUnited Stock

When determining whether BankUnited is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BankUnited Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bankunited Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bankunited Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BankUnited to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BankUnited Stock please use our How to Invest in BankUnited guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BankUnited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BankUnited is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BankUnited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.