SonicShares Global Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

BOAT Etf  USD 30.71  0.07  0.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SonicShares Global Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 29.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.15. SonicShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for SonicShares Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SonicShares Global Shipping value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SonicShares Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SonicShares Global Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 29.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SonicShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SonicShares Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SonicShares Global Etf Forecast Pattern

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SonicShares Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SonicShares Global's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SonicShares Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.62 and 30.63, respectively. We have considered SonicShares Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.71
29.12
Expected Value
30.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SonicShares Global etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SonicShares Global etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6166
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3959
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors24.1492
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SonicShares Global Shipping. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SonicShares Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SonicShares Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SonicShares Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.1930.6932.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2928.7933.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
30.0331.8433.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SonicShares Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SonicShares Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SonicShares Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SonicShares Global.

Other Forecasting Options for SonicShares Global

For every potential investor in SonicShares, whether a beginner or expert, SonicShares Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SonicShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SonicShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SonicShares Global's price trends.

SonicShares Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SonicShares Global etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SonicShares Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SonicShares Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SonicShares Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SonicShares Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SonicShares Global's current price.

SonicShares Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SonicShares Global etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SonicShares Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SonicShares Global etf market strength indicators, traders can identify SonicShares Global Shipping entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SonicShares Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of SonicShares Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SonicShares Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sonicshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
When determining whether SonicShares Global is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if SonicShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Sonicshares Global Shipping Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Sonicshares Global Shipping Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SonicShares Global to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
The market value of SonicShares Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SonicShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SonicShares Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SonicShares Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SonicShares Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SonicShares Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SonicShares Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SonicShares Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SonicShares Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.