Bon Natural Stock Forward View

BON Stock  USD 1.63  0.04  2.40%   
Bon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Bon Natural's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bon Natural's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bon Natural fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bon Natural's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bon Natural, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bon Natural's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bon Natural Life, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bon Natural's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Wall Street Target Price
77.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Using Bon Natural hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bon Natural Life from the perspective of Bon Natural response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bon Natural Life on the next trading day is expected to be 1.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.21.

Bon Natural after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bon Natural to cross-verify your projections.

Bon Natural Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Bon Natural Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Bon Natural's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-09-30
Previous Quarter
3.8 M
Current Value
6.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
2.2 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Bon Natural is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bon Natural Life value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bon Natural Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bon Natural Life on the next trading day is expected to be 1.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bon Natural's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bon Natural Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bon Natural  Bon Natural Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Bon Natural Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bon Natural's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bon Natural's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.00, respectively. We have considered Bon Natural's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.63
1.53
Expected Value
5.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bon Natural stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bon Natural stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5264
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0518
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0301
SAESum of the absolute errors3.2089
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bon Natural Life. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bon Natural. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bon Natural

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bon Natural Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.635.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.424.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Bon Natural After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bon Natural at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bon Natural or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bon Natural, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bon Natural Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bon Natural's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bon Natural's historical news coverage. Bon Natural's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.08, respectively. We have considered Bon Natural's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.63
1.63
After-hype Price
5.08
Upside
Bon Natural is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bon Natural Life is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bon Natural Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bon Natural is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bon Natural backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bon Natural, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
3.47
  0.01 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.63
1.63
0.00 
6,940  
Notes

Bon Natural Hype Timeline

On the 5th of February Bon Natural Life is traded for 1.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Bon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bon Natural is about 4689.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.64. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bon Natural Life recorded a loss per share of 0.72. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:25 split on the 19th of May 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bon Natural to cross-verify your projections.

Bon Natural Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bon Natural's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bon Natural's future price movements. Getting to know how Bon Natural's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bon Natural may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PLAGPlanet Green Holdings(0.06)8 per month 8.55  0.13  19.77 (13.96) 65.84 
PETZTDH Holdings(0.06)8 per month 2.61 (0.02) 4.04 (4.08) 12.06 
EDBLEdible Garden AG 0.83 9 per month 0.00 (0.23) 12.17 (13.20) 47.35 
HCWCHealthy Choice Wellness 0.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.13) 11.11 (9.68) 56.39 
NAIINatural Alternatives International(0.07)8 per month 3.23  0.11  9.16 (5.65) 28.68 
MSSMaison Solutions 0.10 6 per month 0.00 (0.24) 8.89 (11.11) 34.70 
RMCFRocky Mountain Chocolate 0.00 11 per month 3.14  0.13  12.06 (5.98) 25.48 
SOWGSow Good Common(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 24.00 (12.37) 55.88 
AMZEAmaze Holdings(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 20.00 (16.67) 52.45 
IPSTHeritage Distilling Holding 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.30) 16.37 (22.51) 43.45 

Other Forecasting Options for Bon Natural

For every potential investor in Bon, whether a beginner or expert, Bon Natural's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bon Natural's price trends.

Bon Natural Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bon Natural stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bon Natural could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bon Natural by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bon Natural Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bon Natural stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bon Natural shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bon Natural stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bon Natural Life entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bon Natural Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bon Natural's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bon Natural's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bon Natural

The number of cover stories for Bon Natural depends on current market conditions and Bon Natural's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bon Natural is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bon Natural's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bon Natural Short Properties

Bon Natural's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bon Natural's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bon Natural Life often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bon Natural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bon Natural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.3 M
When determining whether Bon Natural Life offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bon Natural's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bon Natural Life Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bon Natural Life Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bon Natural to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Bon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bon Natural. Projected growth potential of Bon fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bon Natural data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Earnings Share
(0.72)
Revenue Per Share
6.776
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Investors evaluate Bon Natural Life using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bon Natural's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bon Natural's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bon Natural's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bon Natural should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bon Natural's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.