Popular Pink Sheet Forward View
| BPOPO Stock | USD 25.35 0.35 1.36% |
Popular Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Popular's share price is at 55 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Popular, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Popular hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Popular from the perspective of Popular response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Popular on the next trading day is expected to be 25.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.84. Popular after-hype prediction price | USD 25.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Popular |
Popular Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Popular price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Popular using various technical indicators. When you analyze Popular charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Popular Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Popular on the next trading day is expected to be 25.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Popular Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Popular's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Popular Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Popular | Popular Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Popular Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Popular's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Popular's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.57 and 26.30, respectively. We have considered Popular's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Popular pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Popular pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3795 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1285 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0052 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.8391 |
Predictive Modules for Popular
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Popular. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Popular After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Popular at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Popular or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Popular, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Popular Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Popular's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Popular's historical news coverage. Popular's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.85 and 26.55, respectively. We have considered Popular's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Popular is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Popular is based on 3 months time horizon.
Popular Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Popular is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Popular backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Popular, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.35 | 25.70 | 0.00 |
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Popular Hype Timeline
Popular is currently traded for 25.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Popular is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Popular is about 587.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.36. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.02. Popular last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Popular to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Popular Pink Sheet, please use our How to Invest in Popular guide.Popular Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Popular's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Popular's future price movements. Getting to know how Popular's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Popular may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGRPF | Absa Group Limited | 0.74 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTBRY | Bank Negara Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.89 | (7.15) | 16.20 | |
| CRDIY | Concordia Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.69 | 0.11 | 7.57 | (8.04) | 23.01 | |
| BPHLF | Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 20.32 | (12.32) | 28.58 | |
| TKGBF | Turkiye Garanti Bankasi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BKKPF | Bangkok Bank Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 6.67 | |
| BNMDF | Banca Mediolanum SpA | 0.74 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.83 | |
| CHBAF | The Chiba Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CCRDF | Concordia Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ISDAF | Israel Discount Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Popular
For every potential investor in Popular, whether a beginner or expert, Popular's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Popular Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Popular. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Popular's price trends.Popular Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Popular pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Popular could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Popular by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Popular Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Popular pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Popular shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Popular pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Popular entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.35) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.7 |
Popular Risk Indicators
The analysis of Popular's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Popular's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting popular pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6632 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6722 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9597 | |||
| Variance | 0.9211 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4518 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Popular
The number of cover stories for Popular depends on current market conditions and Popular's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Popular is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Popular's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Popular Pink Sheet
When determining whether Popular is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Popular Pink Sheet is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Popular Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Popular Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Popular to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Popular Pink Sheet, please use our How to Invest in Popular guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.