Boqii Holding Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BQ Stock  USD 0.50  0.01  1.96%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Boqii Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71. Boqii Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Boqii Holding's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Boqii Holding's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Boqii Holding fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Boqii Holding's Payables Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/24/2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 14.72, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 7.58. . As of 11/24/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 3.8 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to drop to about (124.9 M).
Boqii Holding polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Boqii Holding Limited as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Boqii Holding Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Boqii Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boqii Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boqii Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boqii Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Boqii Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boqii Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boqii Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.80, respectively. We have considered Boqii Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.50
0.51
Expected Value
9.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boqii Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boqii Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4814
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0444
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0976
SAESum of the absolute errors2.7111
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Boqii Holding historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Boqii Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boqii Holding Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.519.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.8611.15
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Boqii Holding

For every potential investor in Boqii, whether a beginner or expert, Boqii Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boqii Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boqii. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boqii Holding's price trends.

Boqii Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boqii Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boqii Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boqii Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boqii Holding Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Boqii Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Boqii Holding's current price.

Boqii Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boqii Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boqii Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boqii Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boqii Holding Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boqii Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boqii Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boqii Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boqii stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Boqii Stock Analysis

When running Boqii Holding's price analysis, check to measure Boqii Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boqii Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Boqii Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boqii Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boqii Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boqii Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.