Brightspire Capital Stock Forward View
| BRSP Stock | USD 6.14 0.16 2.68% |
Brightspire Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Brightspire Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Brightspire Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Brightspire Capital fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Brightspire Capital's stock price is slightly above 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brightspire, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.166 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.6388 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7014 | Wall Street Target Price 6.3571 |
Using Brightspire Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brightspire Capital from the perspective of Brightspire Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brightspire Capital using Brightspire Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brightspire using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brightspire Capital's stock price.
Brightspire Capital Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Brightspire Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brightspire Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brightspire Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brightspire Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brightspire Capital's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brightspire Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 6.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.40. Brightspire Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 6.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Brightspire Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Brightspire Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Brightspire Capital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Brightspire Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Brightspire Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Brightspire Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Brightspire Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Brightspire. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Brightspire Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brightspire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brightspire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brightspire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brightspire Capital Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Brightspire Capital's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 154.3 M | Current Value 113.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 138.6 M |
Brightspire Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brightspire Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 6.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brightspire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brightspire Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brightspire Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brightspire Capital | Brightspire Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Brightspire Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brightspire Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brightspire Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.91 and 7.28, respectively. We have considered Brightspire Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brightspire Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brightspire Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7039 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0558 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.4011 |
Predictive Modules for Brightspire Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brightspire Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brightspire Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brightspire Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brightspire Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brightspire Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brightspire Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brightspire Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brightspire Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brightspire Capital's historical news coverage. Brightspire Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.95 and 7.33, respectively. We have considered Brightspire Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brightspire Capital is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brightspire Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brightspire Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brightspire Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brightspire Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brightspire Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.14 | 6.14 | 0.00 |
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Brightspire Capital Hype Timeline
Brightspire Capital is currently traded for 6.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Brightspire is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brightspire Capital is about 95200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.14. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Brightspire Capital recorded a loss per share of 0.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brightspire Capital to cross-verify your projections.Brightspire Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brightspire Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brightspire Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Brightspire Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brightspire Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.09 | 1.73 | (1.72) | 4.98 | |
| RWT | Redwood Trust | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 3.26 | (2.72) | 8.72 | |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 1.54 | (1.65) | 6.00 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.02 | 3.16 | (2.97) | 7.04 | |
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.19 | (4.92) | 14.40 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.84 | (3.72) | 11.15 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.60 | (0.02) | 2.66 | (2.77) | 6.97 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.68 | 0.02 | 2.31 | (1.98) | 7.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brightspire Capital
For every potential investor in Brightspire, whether a beginner or expert, Brightspire Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brightspire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brightspire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brightspire Capital's price trends.Brightspire Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brightspire Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brightspire Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brightspire Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brightspire Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brightspire Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brightspire Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brightspire Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brightspire Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brightspire Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brightspire Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brightspire Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brightspire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8924 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6106 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8507 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3729 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brightspire Capital
The number of cover stories for Brightspire Capital depends on current market conditions and Brightspire Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brightspire Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brightspire Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brightspire Capital Short Properties
Brightspire Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brightspire Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brightspire Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brightspire Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brightspire Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 302.2 M |
Additional Tools for Brightspire Stock Analysis
When running Brightspire Capital's price analysis, check to measure Brightspire Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brightspire Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Brightspire Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brightspire Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brightspire Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brightspire Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.