Braze Stock Forward View
| BRZE Stock | USD 20.74 0.08 0.38% |
Braze Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Braze stock prices and determine the direction of Braze Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Braze's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Braze's share price is approaching 31 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Braze, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4209 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6371 | Wall Street Target Price 46.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0654 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.255 |
Using Braze hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Braze Inc from the perspective of Braze response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Braze using Braze's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Braze using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Braze's stock price.
Braze Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Braze's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Braze. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Braze stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 29.4615 | Short Percent 0.0576 | Short Ratio 3.05 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 29.8492 |
Braze Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Braze Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 23.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.10.Braze Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Braze's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Braze. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Braze can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Braze Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Braze's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Braze.
Braze Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Braze's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Braze Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Braze's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Braze stock will not fluctuate a lot when Braze's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Braze Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 23.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.10. Braze after-hype prediction price | USD 20.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braze to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Braze contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Braze Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Braze trading at USD 20.74, that is roughly USD 0.008296 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Braze's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Braze Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Braze Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Braze's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Braze's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Braze stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Braze's open interest, investors have to compare it to Braze's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Braze is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Braze. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Braze Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Braze price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Braze using various technical indicators. When you analyze Braze charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Braze Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Braze's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-04-30 | Previous Quarter 81 M | Current Value 97.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 111.5 M |
Braze Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Braze Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 23.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Braze Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Braze's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Braze Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Braze | Braze Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Braze Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Braze's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Braze's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.75 and 27.75, respectively. We have considered Braze's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Braze stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Braze stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5068 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9524 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0339 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 58.0969 |
Predictive Modules for Braze
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braze Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Braze After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Braze at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Braze or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Braze, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Braze Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Braze's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Braze's historical news coverage. Braze's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.74 and 24.74, respectively. We have considered Braze's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Braze is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Braze Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Braze Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Braze is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Braze backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Braze, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 4.00 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.74 | 20.74 | 0.00 |
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Braze Hype Timeline
Braze Inc is currently traded for 20.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Braze is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Braze is about 5555.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.71. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Braze was currently reported as 5.4. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Braze Inc recorded a loss per share of 1.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braze to cross-verify your projections.Braze Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Braze's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Braze's future price movements. Getting to know how Braze's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Braze may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YOU | Clear Secure | (0.18) | 8 per month | 2.06 | 0.01 | 5.49 | (3.81) | 18.67 | |
| BLKB | Blackbaud | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.59 | (4.13) | 11.92 | |
| GRND | Grindr Inc | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.70 | (3.65) | 23.18 | |
| RUM | Rumble Inc | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.32 | (6.91) | 23.11 | |
| KC | Kingsoft Cloud Holdings | (0.23) | 9 per month | 2.91 | 0.02 | 8.10 | (4.76) | 28.63 | |
| ASAN | Asana Inc | 0.26 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.44 | (6.05) | 15.87 | |
| NCNO | nCino Inc | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.14 | (4.77) | 13.06 | |
| NATL | NCR Atleos | 0.60 | 12 per month | 2.32 | 0.01 | 3.25 | (3.05) | 12.49 | |
| PTRN | Pattern Group Series | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.93 | (7.71) | 25.95 | |
| FRSH | Freshworks | (1.35) | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.12 | (3.90) | 12.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Braze
For every potential investor in Braze, whether a beginner or expert, Braze's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Braze Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Braze. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Braze's price trends.Braze Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Braze stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Braze could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Braze by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Braze Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Braze stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Braze shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Braze stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Braze Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 429559.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.05) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.58) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 31.46 |
Braze Risk Indicators
The analysis of Braze's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Braze's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting braze stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.93 | |||
| Variance | 15.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Braze
The number of cover stories for Braze depends on current market conditions and Braze's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Braze is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Braze's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Braze Short Properties
Braze's future price predictability will typically decrease when Braze's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Braze Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Braze's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braze's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 513.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braze to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Braze diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Braze. Projected growth potential of Braze fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Braze data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.05) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.255 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Braze Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Braze that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Braze's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Braze's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Braze's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Braze's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Braze's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Braze should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Braze's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.