Bumi Serpong Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BSPDY Stock | USD 16.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bumi Serpong Damai on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Bumi Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Bumi |
Bumi Serpong Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bumi Serpong Damai on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bumi Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bumi Serpong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bumi Serpong Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Bumi Serpong Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bumi Serpong's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bumi Serpong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.00 and 16.00, respectively. We have considered Bumi Serpong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bumi Serpong pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bumi Serpong pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Bumi Serpong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bumi Serpong Damai. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bumi Serpong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Bumi Serpong
For every potential investor in Bumi, whether a beginner or expert, Bumi Serpong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bumi Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bumi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bumi Serpong's price trends.Bumi Serpong Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bumi Serpong pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bumi Serpong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bumi Serpong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bumi Serpong Damai Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bumi Serpong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bumi Serpong's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Bumi Serpong Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bumi Serpong pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bumi Serpong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bumi Serpong pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bumi Serpong Damai entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Bumi Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Bumi Serpong's price analysis, check to measure Bumi Serpong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bumi Serpong is operating at the current time. Most of Bumi Serpong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bumi Serpong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bumi Serpong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bumi Serpong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.