Bumi Serpong Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| BSPDY Stock | USD 16.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bumi Serpong Damai on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Bumi Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Bumi Serpong's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bumi Serpong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bumi Serpong Damai from the perspective of Bumi Serpong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bumi Serpong Damai on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Bumi Serpong after-hype prediction price | USD 16.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bumi |
Bumi Serpong Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bumi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bumi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bumi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Bumi Serpong Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bumi Serpong Damai on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bumi Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bumi Serpong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bumi Serpong Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Bumi Serpong Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bumi Serpong's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bumi Serpong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.00 and 16.00, respectively. We have considered Bumi Serpong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bumi Serpong pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bumi Serpong pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Bumi Serpong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bumi Serpong Damai. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bumi Serpong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bumi Serpong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bumi Serpong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bumi Serpong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bumi Serpong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bumi Serpong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bumi Serpong's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bumi Serpong's historical news coverage. Bumi Serpong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.00 and 16.00, respectively. We have considered Bumi Serpong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bumi Serpong is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bumi Serpong Damai is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bumi Serpong Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bumi Serpong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bumi Serpong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bumi Serpong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 |
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Bumi Serpong Hype Timeline
Bumi Serpong Damai is currently traded for 16.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bumi is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bumi Serpong is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bumi Serpong Damai last dividend was issued on the 14th of June 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bumi Serpong to cross-verify your projections.Bumi Serpong Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bumi Serpong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bumi Serpong's future price movements. Getting to know how Bumi Serpong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bumi Serpong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTPKF | PT Pakuwon Jati | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,439 | |
| SIMEF | Sime Darby Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.68 | |
| EGRNY | China Evergrande Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LDHUF | Land And Houses | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GWWTF | Growthpoint Properties Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CGSHY | Country Garden Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NIPPF | Nippon Accommodations | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRKFF | Brookfield Office Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.06 | |
| CFMOF | Cofinimmo SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.27 | |
| CFFHF | CIFI Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bumi Serpong
For every potential investor in Bumi, whether a beginner or expert, Bumi Serpong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bumi Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bumi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bumi Serpong's price trends.Bumi Serpong Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bumi Serpong pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bumi Serpong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bumi Serpong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bumi Serpong Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bumi Serpong pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bumi Serpong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bumi Serpong pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bumi Serpong Damai entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Bumi Serpong
The number of cover stories for Bumi Serpong depends on current market conditions and Bumi Serpong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bumi Serpong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bumi Serpong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Bumi Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Bumi Serpong's price analysis, check to measure Bumi Serpong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bumi Serpong is operating at the current time. Most of Bumi Serpong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bumi Serpong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bumi Serpong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bumi Serpong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.