Bt Brands Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BTBD Stock | USD 1.22 0.05 3.94% |
BTBD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bt Brands stock prices and determine the direction of Bt Brands's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bt Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Bt Brands' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Using Bt Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bt Brands from the perspective of Bt Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bt Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.09. Bt Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 1.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bt Brands to cross-verify your projections. Bt Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BTBD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BTBD using various technical indicators. When you analyze BTBD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bt Brands Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bt Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BTBD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bt Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bt Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bt Brands | Bt Brands Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bt Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bt Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bt Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.41, respectively. We have considered Bt Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bt Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bt Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.0192 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0113 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0525 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0361 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.095 |
Predictive Modules for Bt Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bt Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bt Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bt Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bt Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bt Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bt Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bt Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bt Brands' historical news coverage. Bt Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.42, respectively. We have considered Bt Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bt Brands is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bt Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bt Brands Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bt Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bt Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bt Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 4.16 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.22 | 1.26 | 0.79 |
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Bt Brands Hype Timeline
Bt Brands is currently traded for 1.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. BTBD is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.79%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Bt Brands is about 10400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.21. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bt Brands recorded a loss per share of 0.15. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:2 split on the 20th of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bt Brands to cross-verify your projections.Bt Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bt Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bt Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Bt Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bt Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REBN | Reborn Coffee | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.95 | (9.04) | 27.14 | |
| BYAH | Park Ha Biological | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 10.00 | (11.36) | 44.34 | |
| YYGH | YY Group Holding | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.69 | (8.33) | 19.09 | |
| IPW | iPower Inc | (1.44) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 10.45 | (13.20) | 35.96 | |
| CGTL | Creative Global Technology | (0.10) | 6 per month | 8.39 | 0.25 | 31.58 | (16.47) | 149.10 | |
| FGI | FGI Industries | 1.20 | 8 per month | 7.72 | 0.06 | 16.30 | (14.12) | 50.77 | |
| GTIM | Good Times Restaurants | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.24 | (5.00) | 17.69 | |
| AZI | Autozi Internet Technology | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 21.43 | (17.65) | 88.70 | |
| UCAR | U Power Limited | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.64 | (5.05) | 19.82 | |
| CENN | Cenntro Electric Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 13.33 | (6.67) | 24.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bt Brands
For every potential investor in BTBD, whether a beginner or expert, Bt Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BTBD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BTBD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bt Brands' price trends.Bt Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bt Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bt Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bt Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bt Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bt Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bt Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bt Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bt Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Bt Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bt Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bt Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting btbd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Variance | 17.85 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bt Brands
The number of cover stories for Bt Brands depends on current market conditions and Bt Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bt Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bt Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bt Brands Short Properties
Bt Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bt Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bt Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bt Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bt Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bt Brands to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade BTBD Stock refer to our How to Trade BTBD Stock guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could BTBD diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bt Brands. Projected growth potential of BTBD fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bt Brands data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share (0.15) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets |
Bt Brands's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on BTBD's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Bt Brands' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Bt Brands' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Bt Brands' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bt Brands should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Bt Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.