British Amer Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BTI Stock | USD 62.80 0.84 1.36% |
British Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of British Amer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the value of relative strength index of British Amer's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.016 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.611 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.8734 | Wall Street Target Price 59.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using British Amer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of British American Tobacco from the perspective of British Amer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards British Amer using British Amer's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards British using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of British Amer's stock price.
British Amer Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in British Amer's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards British. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of British Amer stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 52.5479 | Short Percent 0.0034 | Short Ratio 1.96 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.2 M | 50 Day MA 57.5124 |
British Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of British American Tobacco on the next trading day is expected to be 60.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.23.British American Tobacco Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to British Amer's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in British. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding British can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around British American Tobacco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of British Amer's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about British Amer.
British Amer Implied Volatility | 0.76 |
British Amer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of British American Tobacco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if British Amer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that British Amer stock will not fluctuate a lot when British Amer's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of British American Tobacco on the next trading day is expected to be 60.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.23. British Amer after-hype prediction price | USD 62.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of British Amer to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current British contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that British American Tobacco will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With British Amer trading at USD 62.8, that is roughly USD 0.0298 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating British Amer's daily price movement you should consider acquiring British American Tobacco options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 British Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast British Amer's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in British Amer's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for British Amer stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current British Amer's open interest, investors have to compare it to British Amer's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of British Amer is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in British. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
British Amer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine British price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for British using various technical indicators. When you analyze British charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
British Amer Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of British American Tobacco on the next trading day is expected to be 60.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict British Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that British Amer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
British Amer Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest British Amer | British Amer Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
British Amer Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting British Amer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. British Amer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.74 and 61.37, respectively. We have considered British Amer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of British Amer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent British Amer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8866 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2617 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0221 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.2257 |
Predictive Modules for British Amer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as British American Tobacco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of British Amer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
British Amer After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of British Amer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in British Amer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of British Amer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
British Amer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting British Amer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on British Amer's historical news coverage. British Amer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.49 and 64.11, respectively. We have considered British Amer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
British Amer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of British American Tobacco is based on 3 months time horizon.
British Amer Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as British Amer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading British Amer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with British Amer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.31 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
62.80 | 62.80 | 0.00 |
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British Amer Hype Timeline
On the 7th of February British American Tobacco is traded for 62.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. British is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 148.86%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on British Amer is about 157.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.00. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of British Amer was currently reported as 28.1. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.43. British American Tobacco last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 14th of February 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of British Amer to cross-verify your projections.British Amer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to British Amer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict British Amer's future price movements. Getting to know how British Amer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how British Amer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MO | Altria Group | (1.33) | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.12 | 2.75 | (1.47) | 8.25 | |
| BUD | Anheuser Busch Inbev | 5.22 | 13 per month | 0.58 | 0.22 | 2.23 | (1.16) | 4.71 | |
| UL | Unilever PLC ADR | 0.43 | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.01 | 1.93 | (1.81) | 8.92 | |
| MDLZ | Mondelez International | (0.61) | 10 per month | 0.97 | 0.02 | 2.04 | (2.02) | 7.00 | |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands | 0.71 | 11 per month | 1.33 | 0.21 | 3.95 | (2.53) | 10.86 | |
| RLX | RLX Technology | 0.03 | 6 per month | 1.51 | (0.02) | 3.15 | (2.93) | 13.76 | |
| PM | Philip Morris International | 1.62 | 5 per month | 1.06 | 0.20 | 2.39 | (2.06) | 7.92 | |
| UVV | Universal | 0.98 | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.11 | 2.06 | (1.45) | 8.15 | |
| CL | Colgate Palmolive | 1.59 | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.20 | 2.09 | (1.68) | 6.59 | |
| MNST | Monster Beverage Corp | (0.32) | 12 per month | 0.67 | 0.19 | 2.16 | (1.63) | 7.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for British Amer
For every potential investor in British, whether a beginner or expert, British Amer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. British Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in British. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying British Amer's price trends.British Amer Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with British Amer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of British Amer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing British Amer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
British Amer Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how British Amer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading British Amer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying British Amer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify British American Tobacco entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 52603.88 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.150685 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 62.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 62.71 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.55 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.84 |
British Amer Risk Indicators
The analysis of British Amer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in British Amer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting british stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9875 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for British Amer
The number of cover stories for British Amer depends on current market conditions and British Amer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that British Amer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about British Amer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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British Amer Short Properties
British Amer's future price predictability will typically decrease when British Amer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of British American Tobacco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential British Amer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. British Amer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of British Amer to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is there potential for Tobacco market expansion? Will British introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of British Amer. Projected growth potential of British fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about British Amer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.016 | Dividend Share 2.402 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of British American Tobacco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of British that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of British Amer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is British Amer's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because British Amer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect British Amer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between British Amer's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding British Amer should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, British Amer's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.