Babcock Wilcox Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| BW Stock | USD 14.51 -0.03 -0.21% |
This 20 Period Moving Average projection for Babcock Wilcox is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Babcock Wilcox at 15.64 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Babcock Wilcox at 15.64 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.12 , and sum of absolute errors of 80.02 .This indicates limited forecast accuracy — the model does not closely track Babcock Wilcox's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Babcock Wilcox | Babcock Wilcox Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for Babcock Wilcox reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The projected band runs from roughly 6.73 on the downside to about 24.56 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Babcock Wilcox stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 82.9376 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.9255 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9518 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1244 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 80.0225 |
Other Forecasting Options for Babcock Wilcox
The autocorrelation structure of Babcock Wilcox's daily returns reveals whether Babcock Wilcox exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements distinguishes persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Babcock Wilcox Stock price data. Stochastic oscillator analysis compares Babcock Wilcox's closing price to its range over a given period.Babcock Wilcox Related Equities
Investors studying Babcock Wilcox often look at related stocks within the Industrials space to gauge pricing and results. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Babcock Wilcox Market Strength Events
Rate of Change and Momentum readings for Babcock Wilcox measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in Babcock Wilcox have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside Babcock Wilcox's volume profile and volatility measures.
Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators
Standard deviation and variance for Babcock Wilcox measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that Babcock Wilcox's price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing Babcock Wilcox's risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range.
| Mean Deviation | 5.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.94 | |||
| Variance | 79.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 46.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 36.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -6.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Babcock Wilcox Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Babcock Wilcox is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.4 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 89.5 million |