BW Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BWE Stock  NOK 22.25  0.20  0.91%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BW Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 22.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.22. BWE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for BW Energy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

BW Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BW Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 22.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BWE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BW Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BW Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BW EnergyBW Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

BW Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BW Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BW Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.98 and 24.52, respectively. We have considered BW Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.25
22.25
Expected Value
24.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BW Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BW Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3727
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0733
MADMean absolute deviation0.4445
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0189
SAESum of the absolute errors26.225
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of BW Energy price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of BW Energy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for BW Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BW Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9822.2524.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9119.1824.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BW Energy

For every potential investor in BWE, whether a beginner or expert, BW Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BWE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BWE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BW Energy's price trends.

BW Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BW Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BW Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BW Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BW Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BW Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BW Energy's current price.

BW Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BW Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BW Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BW Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BW Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BW Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of BW Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BW Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bwe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in BWE Stock

BW Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether BWE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BWE with respect to the benefits of owning BW Energy security.