Blackstone Secured Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BXSL Stock | USD 26.28 0.07 0.27% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blackstone Secured Lending on the next trading day is expected to be 26.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.47. Blackstone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Blackstone Secured's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Blackstone Secured's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Blackstone Secured fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Blackstone Secured's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Blackstone Secured, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7806 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2132 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9566 | Wall Street Target Price 29.7727 |
Using Blackstone Secured hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blackstone Secured Lending from the perspective of Blackstone Secured response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Blackstone Secured using Blackstone Secured's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Blackstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Blackstone Secured's stock price.
Blackstone Secured Short Interest
An investor who is long Blackstone Secured may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Blackstone Secured and may potentially protect profits, hedge Blackstone Secured with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 29.1791 | Short Percent 0.0149 | Short Ratio 2.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 27.0696 |
Blackstone Secured Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Blackstone Secured's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blackstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blackstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blackstone Secured Lending. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blackstone Secured's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blackstone Secured.
Blackstone Secured Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
Blackstone Secured's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blackstone Secured Lending stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blackstone Secured's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blackstone Secured stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blackstone Secured's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blackstone Secured Lending on the next trading day is expected to be 26.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.47. Blackstone Secured after-hype prediction price | USD 26.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Blackstone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Blackstone Secured's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Blackstone Secured's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Blackstone Secured stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Blackstone Secured's open interest, investors have to compare it to Blackstone Secured's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Blackstone Secured is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Blackstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Blackstone Secured Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blackstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blackstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blackstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Blackstone Secured Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Blackstone Secured's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-12-31 | Previous Quarter 186.6 M | Current Value 249.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 160.3 M |
Blackstone Secured Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blackstone Secured Lending on the next trading day is expected to be 26.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blackstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blackstone Secured's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Blackstone Secured Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blackstone Secured | Blackstone Secured Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Blackstone Secured Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Blackstone Secured's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blackstone Secured's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.64 and 27.86, respectively. We have considered Blackstone Secured's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blackstone Secured stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blackstone Secured stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9778 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2864 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0109 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.4715 |
Predictive Modules for Blackstone Secured
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackstone Secured. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackstone Secured's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Blackstone Secured
For every potential investor in Blackstone, whether a beginner or expert, Blackstone Secured's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blackstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blackstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blackstone Secured's price trends.Blackstone Secured Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blackstone Secured stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blackstone Secured could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackstone Secured by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blackstone Secured Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Blackstone Secured's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Blackstone Secured's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Blackstone Secured Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blackstone Secured stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blackstone Secured shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blackstone Secured stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blackstone Secured Lending entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Blackstone Secured Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blackstone Secured's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blackstone Secured's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8782 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blackstone Secured to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone Secured. If investors know Blackstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackstone Secured listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 3.08 | Earnings Share 2.65 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 |
The market value of Blackstone Secured is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackstone Secured's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackstone Secured's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackstone Secured's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackstone Secured's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone Secured's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone Secured is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone Secured's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.