Blackstone Secured Stock Forward View
| BXSL Stock | USD 24.73 0.24 0.98% |
Blackstone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Blackstone Secured's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Blackstone Secured's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Blackstone Secured fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Blackstone Secured's share price is approaching 40 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Blackstone Secured, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7806 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2103 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9327 | Wall Street Target Price 29.2 |
Using Blackstone Secured hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blackstone Secured Lending from the perspective of Blackstone Secured response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Blackstone Secured using Blackstone Secured's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Blackstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Blackstone Secured's stock price.
Blackstone Secured Short Interest
An investor who is long Blackstone Secured may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Blackstone Secured and may potentially protect profits, hedge Blackstone Secured with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 28.8129 | Short Percent 0.0279 | Short Ratio 3.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 26.9512 |
Blackstone Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blackstone Secured Lending on the next trading day is expected to be 23.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.13.Blackstone Secured Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Blackstone Secured's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blackstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blackstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blackstone Secured Lending. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blackstone Secured's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blackstone Secured.
Blackstone Secured Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Blackstone Secured's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blackstone Secured Lending stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blackstone Secured's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blackstone Secured stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blackstone Secured's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blackstone Secured Lending on the next trading day is expected to be 23.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.13. Blackstone Secured after-hype prediction price | USD 24.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Blackstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Blackstone Secured Lending will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Blackstone Secured trading at USD 24.73, that is roughly USD 0.006337 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Blackstone Secured's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Blackstone Secured Lending options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Blackstone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Blackstone Secured's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Blackstone Secured's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Blackstone Secured stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Blackstone Secured's open interest, investors have to compare it to Blackstone Secured's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Blackstone Secured is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Blackstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Blackstone Secured Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blackstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blackstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blackstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Blackstone Secured Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Blackstone Secured's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-12-31 | Previous Quarter 186.6 M | Current Value 249.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 160.3 M |
Blackstone Secured Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blackstone Secured Lending on the next trading day is expected to be 23.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blackstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blackstone Secured's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Blackstone Secured Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blackstone Secured | Blackstone Secured Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Blackstone Secured Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Blackstone Secured's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blackstone Secured's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.55 and 24.94, respectively. We have considered Blackstone Secured's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blackstone Secured stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blackstone Secured stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.748 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2481 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0095 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.1345 |
Predictive Modules for Blackstone Secured
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackstone Secured. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackstone Secured's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blackstone Secured After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blackstone Secured at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blackstone Secured or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blackstone Secured, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blackstone Secured Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blackstone Secured's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blackstone Secured's historical news coverage. Blackstone Secured's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.52 and 25.92, respectively. We have considered Blackstone Secured's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blackstone Secured is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blackstone Secured is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blackstone Secured Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blackstone Secured is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blackstone Secured backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blackstone Secured, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.20 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.73 | 24.72 | 0.04 |
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Blackstone Secured Hype Timeline
Blackstone Secured is currently traded for 24.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Blackstone is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Blackstone Secured is about 16.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.94. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Blackstone Secured last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blackstone Secured to cross-verify your projections.Blackstone Secured Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blackstone Secured's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blackstone Secured's future price movements. Getting to know how Blackstone Secured's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blackstone Secured may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VGENX | Vanguard Energy Fund | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.49 | 0.15 | 1.37 | (1.29) | 3.07 | |
| DODGX | Dodge Stock Fund | 50.05 | 6 per month | 0.62 | 0.03 | 1.33 | (1.04) | 3.52 | |
| VTCAX | Vanguard Telecommunication Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0) | 1.90 | (1.45) | 4.20 | |
| TGVIX | Thornburg International Value | (0.46) | 1 per month | 0.36 | 0.19 | 1.35 | (0.95) | 3.04 | |
| SEMVX | Hartford Schroders Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.13 | 1.48 | (1.20) | 4.55 | |
| PRIDX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.18 | 1.21 | (1.24) | 4.77 | |
| ITHAX | The Hartford Capital | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.65 | 0.06 | 1.35 | (1.25) | 9.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Blackstone Secured
For every potential investor in Blackstone, whether a beginner or expert, Blackstone Secured's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blackstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blackstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blackstone Secured's price trends.Blackstone Secured Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blackstone Secured stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blackstone Secured could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackstone Secured by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blackstone Secured Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blackstone Secured stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blackstone Secured shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blackstone Secured stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blackstone Secured Lending entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Blackstone Secured Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blackstone Secured's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blackstone Secured's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8888 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Variance | 1.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Blackstone Secured
The number of cover stories for Blackstone Secured depends on current market conditions and Blackstone Secured's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blackstone Secured is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blackstone Secured's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Blackstone Secured Short Properties
Blackstone Secured's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blackstone Secured's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blackstone Secured Lending often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blackstone Secured's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone Secured's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 229.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blackstone Secured to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone Secured. Projected growth potential of Blackstone fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Blackstone Secured assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 3.08 | Earnings Share 2.65 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 |
Investors evaluate Blackstone Secured using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Blackstone Secured's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Blackstone Secured's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Blackstone Secured's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Blackstone Secured should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Blackstone Secured's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.