Bygg Partner Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BYGGP Stock  SEK 16.05  0.10  0.62%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bygg Partner i on the next trading day is expected to be 16.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.15. Bygg Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Bygg Partner is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Bygg Partner Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bygg Partner i on the next trading day is expected to be 16.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bygg Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bygg Partner's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bygg Partner Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bygg Partner Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bygg Partner's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bygg Partner's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.54 and 17.56, respectively. We have considered Bygg Partner's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.05
16.05
Expected Value
17.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bygg Partner stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bygg Partner stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6884
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0383
MADMean absolute deviation0.2192
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors13.15
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Bygg Partner i price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Bygg Partner. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Bygg Partner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bygg Partner i. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5416.0517.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4713.9817.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bygg Partner

For every potential investor in Bygg, whether a beginner or expert, Bygg Partner's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bygg Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bygg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bygg Partner's price trends.

Bygg Partner Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bygg Partner stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bygg Partner could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bygg Partner by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bygg Partner i Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bygg Partner's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bygg Partner's current price.

Bygg Partner Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bygg Partner stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bygg Partner shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bygg Partner stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bygg Partner i entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bygg Partner Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bygg Partner's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bygg Partner's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bygg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Bygg Stock Analysis

When running Bygg Partner's price analysis, check to measure Bygg Partner's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bygg Partner is operating at the current time. Most of Bygg Partner's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bygg Partner's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bygg Partner's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bygg Partner to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.