Byrna Technologies Stock Forward View
| BYRN Stock | USD 13.38 0.36 2.62% |
Byrna Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Byrna Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Byrna Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Byrna Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Byrna Technologies' share price is approaching 32 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Byrna Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.49 | Wall Street Target Price 39.7 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.05 |
Using Byrna Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Byrna Technologies from the perspective of Byrna Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Byrna Technologies using Byrna Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Byrna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Byrna Technologies' stock price.
Byrna Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Byrna Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Byrna Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Byrna Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.6898 | Short Percent 0.2274 | Short Ratio 7.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.9 M | 50 Day MA 17.1968 |
Byrna Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Byrna Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 11.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.96.Byrna Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Byrna Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Byrna. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Byrna can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Byrna Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Byrna Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Byrna Technologies.
Byrna Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Byrna Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Byrna Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Byrna Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Byrna Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Byrna Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Byrna Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 11.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.96. Byrna Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 13.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Byrna Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Byrna contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Byrna Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Byrna Technologies trading at USD 13.38, that is roughly USD 0.009282 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Byrna Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Byrna Technologies options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Byrna Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Byrna Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Byrna Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Byrna Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Byrna Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Byrna Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Byrna Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Byrna. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Byrna Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Byrna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Byrna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Byrna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Byrna Technologies Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Byrna Technologies' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2005-11-30 | Previous Quarter 7 M | Current Value 6.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 11.6 M |
Byrna Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Byrna Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 11.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Byrna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Byrna Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Byrna Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Byrna Technologies | Byrna Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Byrna Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Byrna Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Byrna Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.92 and 14.38, respectively. We have considered Byrna Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Byrna Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Byrna Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9507 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4748 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0278 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.9612 |
Predictive Modules for Byrna Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Byrna Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Byrna Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Byrna Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Byrna Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Byrna Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Byrna Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Byrna Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Byrna Technologies' historical news coverage. Byrna Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.79 and 16.25, respectively. We have considered Byrna Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Byrna Technologies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Byrna Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Byrna Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Byrna Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Byrna Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Byrna Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.73 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.38 | 13.52 | 1.05 |
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Byrna Technologies Hype Timeline
Byrna Technologies is currently traded for 13.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Byrna is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Byrna Technologies is about 1186.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.47. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 85.76 M. Net Income was 12.79 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.97 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Byrna Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Byrna Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Byrna Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Byrna Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Byrna Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Byrna Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWBI | Smith Wesson Brands | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.89 | 0.06 | 4.08 | (2.73) | 25.97 | |
| AIRO | AIRO Group Holdings | 0.47 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.18 | (11.39) | 23.45 | |
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | 0.33 | 8 per month | 5.00 | 0.03 | 9.38 | (5.42) | 32.52 | |
| TATT | Tat Techno | 0.88 | 8 per month | 2.81 | 0.06 | 5.38 | (3.62) | 13.21 | |
| PKE | Park Electrochemical | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.41 | 0.15 | 4.71 | (2.80) | 13.02 | |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc | 1.16 | 9 per month | 1.71 | 0.13 | 3.82 | (3.00) | 33.33 | |
| ORN | Orion Group Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.81 | 0.11 | 5.34 | (5.52) | 18.04 | |
| FBYD | Falcons Beyond Global | (0.92) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 19.89 | (15.43) | 45.53 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.90 | 0.20 | 2.20 | (1.87) | 6.77 | |
| CYRX | Cryoport | 0.24 | 9 per month | 2.57 | 0.01 | 4.90 | (4.26) | 13.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Byrna Technologies
For every potential investor in Byrna, whether a beginner or expert, Byrna Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Byrna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Byrna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Byrna Technologies' price trends.Byrna Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Byrna Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Byrna Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Byrna Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Byrna Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Byrna Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Byrna Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Byrna Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Byrna Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 32.9 |
Byrna Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Byrna Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Byrna Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting byrna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Variance | 8.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Byrna Technologies
The number of cover stories for Byrna Technologies depends on current market conditions and Byrna Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Byrna Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Byrna Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Byrna Technologies Short Properties
Byrna Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Byrna Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Byrna Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Byrna Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Byrna Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Byrna Technologies to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Byrna Stock, please use our How to Invest in Byrna Technologies guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could Byrna diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Byrna Technologies. Projected growth potential of Byrna fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Byrna Technologies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.25 | Earnings Share 0.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.351 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Byrna Technologies requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Byrna's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Byrna Technologies' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Byrna Technologies' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Byrna Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Byrna Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Byrna Technologies' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.