Byrna Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| BYRN Stock | USD 15.02 0.89 5.59% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.49 | Wall Street Target Price 39.7 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.05 |
Using Byrna Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Byrna Technologies from the perspective of Byrna Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Byrna Technologies using Byrna Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Byrna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Byrna Technologies' stock price.
Byrna Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Byrna Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Byrna Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Byrna Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.7661 | Short Percent 0.2458 | Short Ratio 9.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 17.4944 |
Byrna Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Byrna Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Byrna. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Byrna can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Byrna Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Byrna Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Byrna Technologies.
Byrna Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Byrna Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Byrna Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Byrna Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Byrna Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Byrna Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Byrna Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Byrna because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Byrna Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 15.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Byrna contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Byrna Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Byrna Technologies trading at USD 15.02, that is roughly USD 0.009669 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Byrna Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Byrna Technologies options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Byrna Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Byrna Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Byrna Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Byrna Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Byrna Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Byrna Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Byrna Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Byrna Technologies' historical news coverage. Byrna Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.16 and 18.76, respectively. We have considered Byrna Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Byrna Technologies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Byrna Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Byrna Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Byrna Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Byrna Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Byrna Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.80 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.02 | 15.96 | 0.31 |
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Byrna Technologies Hype Timeline
Byrna Technologies is currently traded for 15.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Byrna is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Byrna Technologies is about 1010.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.13. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 85.76 M. Net Income was 12.79 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.97 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Byrna Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Byrna Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Byrna Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Byrna Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Byrna Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Byrna Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWBI | Smith Wesson Brands | (0.10) | 11 per month | 1.86 | 0.02 | 3.41 | (2.42) | 25.97 | |
| AIRO | AIRO Group Holdings | (0.16) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.18 | (11.39) | 23.45 | |
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | (0.11) | 9 per month | 5.01 | 0.05 | 9.38 | (6.45) | 32.52 | |
| TATT | Tat Techno | 0.88 | 8 per month | 2.80 | 0.12 | 5.38 | (3.62) | 13.21 | |
| PKE | Park Electrochemical | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.41 | 0.11 | 4.52 | (2.80) | 11.79 | |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc | (0.58) | 13 per month | 1.80 | 0.09 | 3.64 | (3.00) | 32.43 | |
| ORN | Orion Group Holdings | 0.26 | 8 per month | 2.75 | 0.13 | 5.34 | (5.52) | 25.03 | |
| FBYD | Falcons Beyond Global | 2.66 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 20.40 | (15.22) | 45.53 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | (0.04) | 6 per month | 1.08 | 0.10 | 2.20 | (1.93) | 6.77 | |
| CYRX | Cryoport | (0.05) | 8 per month | 3.37 | (0.01) | 4.99 | (4.26) | 18.32 |
Byrna Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Byrna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Byrna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Byrna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Byrna Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Byrna Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Byrna Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Byrna Technologies based on analysis of Byrna Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Byrna Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Byrna Technologies's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 7.26 | 4.28 | 3.85 | 2.26 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 266.88 | 221.01 | 254.16 | 384.58 |
Pair Trading with Byrna Technologies
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Byrna Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Byrna Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Byrna Stock
| 0.75 | PH | Parker Hannifin Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | FLS | Flowserve | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | 600765 | AVIC Heavy Machinery | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | DCI | Donaldson | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | RFG | Roebuck Food Group | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | IEX | IDEX | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Byrna Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Byrna Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Byrna Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Byrna Technologies to buy it.
The correlation of Byrna Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Byrna Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Byrna Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Byrna Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Byrna Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Byrna Stock, please use our How to Invest in Byrna Technologies guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Byrna Technologies. If investors know Byrna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Byrna Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.25 | Earnings Share 0.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.351 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Byrna Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Byrna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Byrna Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Byrna Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Byrna Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Byrna Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Byrna Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Byrna Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Byrna Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.