Camden National Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CAC Stock | USD 47.38 0.19 0.40% |
Camden Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Camden National stock prices and determine the direction of Camden National's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Camden National's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Camden National's stock price is about 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Camden, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.394 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.23 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.4 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9267 | Wall Street Target Price 47.5 |
Using Camden National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Camden National from the perspective of Camden National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Camden National using Camden National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Camden using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Camden National's stock price.
Camden National Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Camden National's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Camden. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Camden National stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 40.3929 | Short Percent 0.0262 | Short Ratio 5.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 431.1 K | 50 Day MA 43.3374 |
Camden Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Camden National on the next trading day is expected to be 46.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.79.Camden National Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Camden National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Camden. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Camden can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Camden National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Camden National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Camden National.
Camden National Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Camden National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Camden National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Camden National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Camden National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Camden National's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Camden National on the next trading day is expected to be 46.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.79. Camden National after-hype prediction price | USD 47.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camden National to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Camden contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Camden National will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Camden National trading at USD 47.38, that is roughly USD 0.0222 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Camden National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Camden National options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Camden Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Camden National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Camden National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Camden National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Camden National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Camden National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Camden National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Camden. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Camden National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Camden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Camden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Camden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Camden National Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Camden National on the next trading day is expected to be 46.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98, mean absolute percentage error of 1.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Camden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Camden National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Camden National Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Camden National | Camden National Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Camden National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Camden National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Camden National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.29 and 48.01, respectively. We have considered Camden National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Camden National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Camden National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.329 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9805 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0228 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.7937 |
Predictive Modules for Camden National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camden National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Camden National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Camden National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Camden National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Camden National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Camden National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Camden National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Camden National's historical news coverage. Camden National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.54 and 49.22, respectively. We have considered Camden National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Camden National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Camden National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Camden National Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Camden National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Camden National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Camden National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 1.86 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
47.38 | 47.38 | 0.00 |
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Camden National Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Camden National is traded for 47.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. Camden is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Camden National is about 307.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.60. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Camden National last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. The entity had 3:2 split on the 3rd of October 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camden National to cross-verify your projections.Camden National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Camden National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Camden National's future price movements. Getting to know how Camden National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Camden National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | 0.22 | 8 per month | 1.66 | (0) | 3.09 | (2.95) | 8.54 | |
| MCBS | MetroCity Bankshares | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.01 | 2.87 | (2.71) | 9.78 | |
| MPB | Mid Penn Bancorp | 0.11 | 11 per month | 1.47 | 0.08 | 3.32 | (2.94) | 10.40 | |
| NBBK | NB Bancorp Common | 1.60 | 9 per month | 1.04 | 0.12 | 2.93 | (2.07) | 6.22 | |
| ORRF | Orrstown Financial Services | 1.02 | 17 per month | 1.18 | (0) | 2.73 | (2.35) | 8.43 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | 0.11 | 3 per month | 1.81 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (2.34) | 14.35 | |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | 0.11 | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.17 | 2.97 | (2.06) | 12.58 | |
| IBCP | Independent Bank | 1.02 | 13 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.57 | (2.57) | 7.82 | |
| THFF | First Financial | 0.11 | 19 per month | 1.40 | 0.09 | 3.55 | (2.36) | 10.39 | |
| MCB | Metropolitan Bank Holding | 1.60 | 8 per month | 1.55 | 0.09 | 3.81 | (2.90) | 19.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Camden National
For every potential investor in Camden, whether a beginner or expert, Camden National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Camden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Camden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Camden National's price trends.Camden National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Camden National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Camden National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Camden National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Camden National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Camden National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Camden National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Camden National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Camden National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Camden National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Camden National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Camden National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting camden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Camden National
The number of cover stories for Camden National depends on current market conditions and Camden National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Camden National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Camden National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Camden National Short Properties
Camden National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Camden National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Camden National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Camden National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camden National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 792.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camden National to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Camden Stock refer to our How to Trade Camden Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Camden National. If investors know Camden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Camden National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.394 | Earnings Share 3.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.395 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Camden National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Camden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Camden National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Camden National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Camden National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Camden National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Camden National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Camden National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Camden National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.