Caixabank Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CAIXY Stock | USD 4.41 0.28 6.78% |
Caixabank Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Caixabank's pink sheet price is slightly above 64 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Caixabank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Caixabank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caixabank SA ADR from the perspective of Caixabank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caixabank SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.56. Caixabank after-hype prediction price | USD 4.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Caixabank |
Caixabank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caixabank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caixabank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caixabank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Caixabank Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caixabank SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Caixabank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Caixabank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Caixabank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Caixabank | Caixabank Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Caixabank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Caixabank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Caixabank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.59 and 6.23, respectively. We have considered Caixabank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Caixabank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Caixabank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.2994 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0249 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0603 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0154 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.56 |
Predictive Modules for Caixabank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caixabank SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caixabank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caixabank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Caixabank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caixabank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Caixabank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Caixabank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Caixabank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caixabank's historical news coverage. Caixabank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.59 and 6.23, respectively. We have considered Caixabank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Caixabank is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caixabank SA ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Caixabank Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caixabank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caixabank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caixabank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.82 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.41 | 4.41 | 0.00 |
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Caixabank Hype Timeline
Caixabank SA ADR is currently traded for 4.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Caixabank is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Caixabank is about 5515.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.40. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Caixabank SA ADR last dividend was issued on the 18th of April 2022. The entity had 10159:1000 split on the 3rd of March 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Caixabank to cross-verify your projections.Caixabank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Caixabank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caixabank's future price movements. Getting to know how Caixabank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caixabank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSBKF | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.94 | 0.00 | 17.23 | |
| LLDTF | Lloyds Banking Group | (0.11) | 6 per month | 2.79 | 0.09 | 10.40 | (5.51) | 24.58 | |
| EBKDY | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.26 | 3.25 | (1.80) | 8.44 | |
| PSTVY | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.89 | (5.22) | 18.75 | |
| OVCHF | Oversea Chinese Banking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 2.31 | 0.00 | 13.99 | |
| INGVF | ING Groep NV | (0.11) | 15 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 3.92 | (3.12) | 12.39 | |
| NBNKF | Nordea Bank Abp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.1 | 3.59 | (1.65) | 17.31 | |
| MZHOF | Mizuho Financial Group | (0.11) | 3 per month | 2.56 | 0.16 | 5.11 | (4.49) | 27.97 | |
| BCLYF | Barclays PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.14 | 3.54 | (2.70) | 14.84 | |
| BNPQF | BNP Paribas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.16 | 4.25 | (2.87) | 12.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Caixabank
For every potential investor in Caixabank, whether a beginner or expert, Caixabank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Caixabank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Caixabank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Caixabank's price trends.Caixabank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Caixabank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Caixabank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caixabank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Caixabank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Caixabank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Caixabank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Caixabank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Caixabank SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Caixabank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Caixabank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caixabank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caixabank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Caixabank
The number of cover stories for Caixabank depends on current market conditions and Caixabank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caixabank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caixabank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Caixabank Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Caixabank's price analysis, check to measure Caixabank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caixabank is operating at the current time. Most of Caixabank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caixabank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caixabank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caixabank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.