China Aviation Pink Sheet Forward View

CAOLFDelisted Stock  USD 0.55  0.00  0.00%   
China Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of China Aviation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of China Aviation's share price is at 58 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling China Aviation, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Aviation's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Aviation and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Aviation's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Aviation Oil, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Aviation Oil from the perspective of China Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Aviation Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

China Aviation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

China Aviation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for China Aviation is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of China Aviation Oil value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

China Aviation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Aviation Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Aviation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Aviation Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest China Aviation  China Aviation Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Aviation pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Aviation pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria47.6799
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of China Aviation Oil. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict China Aviation. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for China Aviation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Aviation Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.550.550.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.470.470.61
Details

China Aviation After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Aviation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Aviation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Aviation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Aviation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Aviation's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Aviation's historical news coverage. China Aviation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.55 and 0.55, respectively. We have considered China Aviation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.55
0.55
After-hype Price
0.55
Upside
China Aviation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Aviation Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Aviation Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Aviation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.55
0.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

China Aviation Hype Timeline

China Aviation Oil is currently traded for 0.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Aviation is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.55. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Aviation Oil last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2022. The entity had 1:5 split on the 21st of March 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

China Aviation Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Aviation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Aviation's future price movements. Getting to know how China Aviation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Aviation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

China Aviation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Aviation pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Aviation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Aviation pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Aviation pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Aviation Oil entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for China Aviation

The number of cover stories for China Aviation depends on current market conditions and China Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

China Aviation Short Properties

China Aviation's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Aviation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Aviation Oil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding860.2 M
Dividends Paid16.8 M
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in China Aviation Oil check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Aviation's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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