China Aviation Oil Price Prediction
| CAOLFDelisted Stock | USD 0.55 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
100
Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Aviation Oil from the perspective of China Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Aviation to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Aviation after-hype prediction price | USD 0.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Aviation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Aviation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Aviation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Aviation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Aviation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Aviation's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Aviation's historical news coverage. China Aviation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.55 and 0.55, respectively. We have considered China Aviation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Aviation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Aviation Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Aviation Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Aviation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.55 | 0.55 | 0.00 |
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China Aviation Hype Timeline
China Aviation Oil is currently traded for 0.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Aviation is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.55. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Aviation Oil last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2022. The entity had 1:5 split on the 21st of March 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.China Aviation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Aviation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Aviation's future price movements. Getting to know how China Aviation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Aviation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.66 | (4.07) | 16.10 | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.06 | (4.01) | 16.10 | |
| SGU | Star Gas Partners | (0.07) | 3 per month | 1.38 | 0.02 | 3.36 | (2.59) | 9.70 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.49 | (4.36) | 11.79 | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.06 | 3.11 | (2.23) | 6.12 | |
| PBF | PBF Energy | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.77 | (3.76) | 15.94 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.71) | 10 per month | 2.36 | (0.06) | 1.73 | (1.44) | 15.55 | |
| VLO | Valero Energy | (1.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.75 | (3.31) | 11.46 |
China Aviation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Aviation Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Aviation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Aviation Oil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Aviation based on analysis of China Aviation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Aviation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Aviation's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Aviation
The number of cover stories for China Aviation depends on current market conditions and China Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Aviation Short Properties
China Aviation's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Aviation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Aviation Oil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 860.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 16.8 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in China Aviation Oil check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Aviation's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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