China Aviation Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CAOLFDelisted Stock  USD 0.55  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of China Aviation Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Aviation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
China Aviation polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for China Aviation Oil as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

China Aviation Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of China Aviation Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000413, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Aviation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Aviation Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest China AviationChina Aviation Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Aviation pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Aviation pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7134
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0028
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0933
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the China Aviation historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for China Aviation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Aviation Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.550.550.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.470.470.61
Details

China Aviation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Aviation pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Aviation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Aviation pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Aviation pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Aviation Oil entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

China Aviation Risk Indicators

The analysis of China Aviation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Aviation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in China Aviation Oil check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Aviation's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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