Canadian Apartment Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CAR-UN Stock  CAD 45.51  0.82  1.83%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Canadian Apartment Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 45.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.78. Canadian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Canadian Apartment stock prices and determine the direction of Canadian Apartment Properties's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Canadian Apartment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Canadian Apartment's Inventory Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 10.95, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 15.98. . As of November 26, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 94.2 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 14.9 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Canadian Apartment is based on an artificially constructed time series of Canadian Apartment daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Canadian Apartment 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Canadian Apartment Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 45.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09, mean absolute percentage error of 1.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canadian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canadian Apartment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canadian Apartment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Canadian ApartmentCanadian Apartment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Canadian Apartment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canadian Apartment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canadian Apartment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.87 and 46.26, respectively. We have considered Canadian Apartment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.51
45.06
Expected Value
46.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canadian Apartment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canadian Apartment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.8874
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6483
MADMean absolute deviation1.0885
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0219
SAESum of the absolute errors58.7775
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Canadian Apartment Properties 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Canadian Apartment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian Apartment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canadian Apartment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.2545.4446.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.4744.6645.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.5745.0445.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.07-0.07-0.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Canadian Apartment

For every potential investor in Canadian, whether a beginner or expert, Canadian Apartment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canadian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canadian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canadian Apartment's price trends.

Canadian Apartment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canadian Apartment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canadian Apartment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canadian Apartment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canadian Apartment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Canadian Apartment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Canadian Apartment's current price.

Canadian Apartment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canadian Apartment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canadian Apartment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canadian Apartment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Canadian Apartment Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canadian Apartment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canadian Apartment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canadian Apartment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canadian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Canadian Apartment

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canadian Apartment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canadian Apartment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Canadian Stock

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  0.72CMC Cielo Waste SolutionsPairCorr

Moving against Canadian Stock

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  0.7ERC Eros Resources CorpPairCorr
  0.68MATE Blockmate Ventures Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canadian Apartment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canadian Apartment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canadian Apartment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canadian Apartment Properties to buy it.
The correlation of Canadian Apartment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canadian Apartment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canadian Apartment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canadian Apartment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Canadian Stock

Canadian Apartment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canadian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canadian with respect to the benefits of owning Canadian Apartment security.