Capital Financial Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for Capital Financial Indonesia is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Capital Financial 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Capital Financial Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 515.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.83, mean absolute percentage error of 480.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 744.25.

Capital Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Capital Financial Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Capital Financial. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Capital Financial Indonesia and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Capital Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 507.34 510.00 512.66 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 434.35 437.01 561.00 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Capital Financial

For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital Financial's price trends.

Capital Financial Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Capital Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Capital Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Capital Financial's current price.

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Capital Financial Risk Indicators

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