Capital Financial Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Capital Financial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Capital Financial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Capital Financial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Capital Financial.

Capital Financial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Capital Financial Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 512.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.78, mean absolute percentage error of 219.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 518.00.

Capital Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Capital Financial Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Capital Financial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Capital Financial Indonesia observations.

Predictive Modules for Capital Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 507.33 510.00 512.67 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 434.34 437.01 561.00 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 505.86 520.00 534.14 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Capital Financial

For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital Financial's price trends.

Capital Financial Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Capital Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Capital Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Capital Financial's current price.

Capital Financial Market Strength Events

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