Cboe Global Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CBOE Stock | USD 265.06 0.00 0.00% |
Cboe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cboe Global stock prices and determine the direction of Cboe Global Markets's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cboe Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The RSI of Cboe Global's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cboe Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.377 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.435 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.5663 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.2044 | Wall Street Target Price 273 |
Using Cboe Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cboe Global Markets from the perspective of Cboe Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cboe Global using Cboe Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cboe using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cboe Global's stock price.
Cboe Global Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cboe Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cboe. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cboe Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 240.9972 | Short Percent 0.0298 | Short Ratio 2.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 257.9982 |
Cboe Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cboe Global Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 265.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.91.Cboe Global Markets Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cboe Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cboe. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cboe can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cboe Global Markets. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cboe Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cboe Global.
Cboe Global Implied Volatility | 0.31 |
Cboe Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cboe Global Markets stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cboe Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cboe Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cboe Global's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cboe Global Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 265.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.91. Cboe Global after-hype prediction price | USD 265.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cboe Global to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cboe contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cboe Global Markets will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0194% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cboe Global trading at USD 265.06, that is roughly USD 0.0514 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cboe Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cboe Global Markets options at the current volatility level of 0.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cboe Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cboe Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cboe Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cboe Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cboe Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cboe Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cboe Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cboe. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cboe Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cboe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cboe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cboe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cboe Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cboe Global Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 265.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.18, mean absolute percentage error of 7.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cboe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cboe Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cboe Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cboe Global | Cboe Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cboe Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cboe Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cboe Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 264.02 and 266.10, respectively. We have considered Cboe Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cboe Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cboe Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0767 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3087 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1789 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 132.91 |
Predictive Modules for Cboe Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cboe Global Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cboe Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cboe Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cboe Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cboe Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cboe Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cboe Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cboe Global's historical news coverage. Cboe Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 264.26 and 266.34, respectively. We have considered Cboe Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cboe Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cboe Global Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cboe Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cboe Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cboe Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cboe Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.04 | 0.24 | 0.07 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
265.06 | 265.30 | 0.09 |
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Cboe Global Hype Timeline
Cboe Global Markets is currently traded for 265.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Cboe is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 265.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 55.61%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Cboe Global is about 183.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 264.99. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.09 B. Net Income was 761 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.28 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cboe Global to cross-verify your projections.Cboe Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cboe Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cboe Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Cboe Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cboe Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings | (1.02) | 9 per month | 1.80 | 0.03 | 2.35 | (3.33) | 16.03 | |
| MKL | Markel | (5.85) | 11 per month | 0.68 | 0.05 | 1.86 | (1.04) | 7.32 | |
| CINF | Cincinnati Financial | 1.51 | 12 per month | 1.13 | (0.03) | 1.67 | (1.50) | 4.67 | |
| TW | Tradeweb Markets | 2.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.29 | (2.41) | 8.18 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | (0.15) | 7 per month | 1.57 | 0.05 | 2.86 | (2.40) | 10.36 | |
| SHG | Shinhan Financial Group | 0.85 | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.10 | 3.04 | (2.57) | 7.88 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | 0.55 | 8 per month | 0.86 | 0.16 | 2.52 | (1.40) | 6.01 | |
| FUTU | Futu Holdings | (2.86) | 11 per month | 3.02 | (0.01) | 5.26 | (5.58) | 14.13 | |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares | (0.25) | 12 per month | 1.62 | 0.1 | 2.60 | (1.69) | 12.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cboe Global
For every potential investor in Cboe, whether a beginner or expert, Cboe Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cboe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cboe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cboe Global's price trends.Cboe Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cboe Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cboe Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cboe Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cboe Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cboe Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cboe Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cboe Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cboe Global Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13260.71 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 264.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 264.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.69 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.58 |
Cboe Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cboe Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cboe Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cboe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8926 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Variance | 1.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cboe Global
The number of cover stories for Cboe Global depends on current market conditions and Cboe Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cboe Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cboe Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cboe Global Short Properties
Cboe Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cboe Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cboe Global Markets often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cboe Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cboe Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cboe Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Financial Exchanges & Data sector continue expanding? Could Cboe diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cboe Global. Projected growth potential of Cboe fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cboe Global data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.377 | Dividend Share 2.61 | Earnings Share 9.29 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 |
Investors evaluate Cboe Global Markets using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Cboe Global's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Cboe Global's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cboe Global's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cboe Global should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cboe Global's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.