Cincinnati Financial Stock Price Prediction
| CINF Stock | USD 156.47 1.62 1.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.3033 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.3492 | Wall Street Target Price 152.3333 |
Using Cincinnati Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cincinnati Financial from the perspective of Cincinnati Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cincinnati Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cincinnati because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cincinnati Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 156.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cincinnati |
Cincinnati Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cincinnati Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cincinnati Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cincinnati Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cincinnati Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cincinnati Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cincinnati Financial's historical news coverage. Cincinnati Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 155.40 and 158.30, respectively. We have considered Cincinnati Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cincinnati Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cincinnati Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cincinnati Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cincinnati Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cincinnati Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cincinnati Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.45 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 9 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
156.47 | 156.85 | 0.24 |
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Cincinnati Financial Hype Timeline
Cincinnati Financial is currently traded for 156.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Cincinnati is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 156.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Cincinnati Financial is about 238.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 156.63. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.01 B. Net Income was 1.84 B with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (533 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Cincinnati Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cincinnati Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cincinnati Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Cincinnati Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cincinnati Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PGR | Progressive Corp | 0.84 | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.03 | 2.45 | (1.58) | 6.25 | |
| TRV | The Travelers Companies | 2.93 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.10 | 1.93 | (2.17) | 11.31 | |
| CB | Chubb | 2.27 | 9 per month | 1.17 | (0.05) | 1.49 | (1.78) | 6.25 | |
| WRB | W R Berkley | (0.03) | 11 per month | 1.44 | (0) | 1.97 | (2.36) | 7.07 | |
| ALL | The Allstate | 3.35 | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.05 | 1.57 | (1.69) | 6.34 | |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | (2.56) | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.02 | 2.13 | (1.82) | 8.59 | |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | (0.70) | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.11 | 2.13 | (2.23) | 11.51 | |
| KMPR | Kemper | 0.37 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.08 | 2.28 | (1.57) | 5.66 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | (0.13) | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.09 | 3.11 | (3.27) | 11.78 | |
| CNA | CNA Financial | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.47 | (0.09) | 1.47 | (1.94) | 6.06 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity PLC | (0.50) | 6 per month | 0.98 | 0.03 | 2.91 | (1.97) | 7.14 | |
| STC | Stewart Information Services | 1.65 | 9 per month | 1.41 | (0.01) | 3.35 | (2.66) | 10.03 |
Cincinnati Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cincinnati price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cincinnati using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cincinnati charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cincinnati Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cincinnati Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cincinnati Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cincinnati Financial based on analysis of Cincinnati Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cincinnati Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cincinnati Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0215 | 0.026 | 0.0278 | 0.0226 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.9 | 2.48 | 1.63 | 1.51 |
Story Coverage note for Cincinnati Financial
The number of cover stories for Cincinnati Financial depends on current market conditions and Cincinnati Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cincinnati Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cincinnati Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cincinnati Financial Short Properties
Cincinnati Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cincinnati Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cincinnati Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cincinnati Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cincinnati Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 158.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 907 M |
Complementary Tools for Cincinnati Stock analysis
When running Cincinnati Financial's price analysis, check to measure Cincinnati Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cincinnati Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Cincinnati Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cincinnati Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cincinnati Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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