Chino Commercial Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CCBC Stock | USD 17.49 0.24 1.39% |
Chino Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chino Commercial stock prices and determine the direction of Chino Commercial Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Chino Commercial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Chino Commercial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chino Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chino Commercial Bancorp from the perspective of Chino Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chino Commercial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59. Chino Commercial after-hype prediction price | USD 17.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chino |
Chino Commercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chino price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chino using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chino charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chino Commercial Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chino Commercial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chino Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chino Commercial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chino Commercial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chino Commercial | Chino Commercial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Chino Commercial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chino Commercial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chino Commercial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.71 and 18.27, respectively. We have considered Chino Commercial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chino Commercial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chino Commercial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0202 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0439 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0026 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.59 |
Predictive Modules for Chino Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chino Commercial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chino Commercial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chino Commercial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chino Commercial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Chino Commercial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chino Commercial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chino Commercial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chino Commercial's historical news coverage. Chino Commercial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.71 and 18.27, respectively. We have considered Chino Commercial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chino Commercial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chino Commercial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chino Commercial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chino Commercial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chino Commercial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chino Commercial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.49 | 17.49 | 0.00 |
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Chino Commercial Hype Timeline
Chino Commercial Bancorp is currently traded for 17.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chino is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chino Commercial is about 3342.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.49. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Chino Commercial Bancorp had 6:5 split on the 16th of June 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chino Commercial to cross-verify your projections.Chino Commercial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chino Commercial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chino Commercial's future price movements. Getting to know how Chino Commercial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chino Commercial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALBY | Community Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.85 | (0.85) | 4.47 | |
| MFBP | MF Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0 | 3.04 | (2.34) | 7.54 | |
| HCBN | HCB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 3.26 | |
| OAKV | Oak View National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.02 | 2.58 | (2.52) | 7.56 | |
| CIZN | Citizens Holding | (0.14) | 4 per month | 0.93 | 0.21 | 4.86 | (1.76) | 9.52 | |
| EXCH | Exchange Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 17.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chino Commercial
For every potential investor in Chino, whether a beginner or expert, Chino Commercial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chino Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chino. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chino Commercial's price trends.Chino Commercial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chino Commercial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chino Commercial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chino Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chino Commercial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chino Commercial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chino Commercial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chino Commercial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Chino Commercial Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.24 |
Chino Commercial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chino Commercial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chino Commercial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chino pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4102 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9613 | |||
| Variance | 0.9242 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Chino Commercial
The number of cover stories for Chino Commercial depends on current market conditions and Chino Commercial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chino Commercial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chino Commercial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Chino Pink Sheet
Chino Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chino Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chino with respect to the benefits of owning Chino Commercial security.