Coca Cola Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

CCC3 Stock  EUR 61.49  0.41  0.67%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 61.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.20. Coca Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coca Cola's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Coca Cola works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Coca Cola Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 61.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca Cola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca Cola Stock Forecast Pattern

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Coca Cola Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca Cola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca Cola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.76 and 62.59, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.49
61.68
Expected Value
62.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca Cola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca Cola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0543
MADMean absolute deviation0.4779
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors28.1987
When The Coca Cola prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any The Coca Cola trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Coca Cola observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.5861.4962.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.6461.5562.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coca Cola. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coca Cola's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coca Cola's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coca Cola.

Other Forecasting Options for Coca Cola

For every potential investor in Coca, whether a beginner or expert, Coca Cola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca Cola's price trends.

Coca Cola Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca Cola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca Cola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca Cola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca Cola Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coca Cola's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coca Cola's current price.

Coca Cola Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca Cola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca Cola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca Cola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Coca Cola entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca Cola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca Cola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca Stock

When determining whether Coca Cola offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Coca Cola's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of The Coca Cola Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on The Coca Cola Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coca Cola is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.