Coca Cola Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CCC3 Stock | EUR 61.39 0.15 0.24% |
Coca Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coca Cola's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Coca Cola's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coca Cola, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Coca Cola hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Coca Cola from the perspective of Coca Cola response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 61.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.32. Coca Cola after-hype prediction price | EUR 61.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Coca |
Coca Cola Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coca price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coca using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coca charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coca Cola Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 61.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca Cola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coca Cola Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coca Cola | Coca Cola Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Coca Cola Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coca Cola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca Cola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.34 and 62.44, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca Cola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca Cola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3346 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.028 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4553 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.32 |
Predictive Modules for Coca Cola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coca Cola After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coca Cola at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coca Cola or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coca Cola, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coca Cola Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coca Cola's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coca Cola's historical news coverage. Coca Cola's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.35 and 62.43, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coca Cola is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coca Cola is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coca Cola Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coca Cola is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coca Cola backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coca Cola, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
61.39 | 61.39 | 0.00 |
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Coca Cola Hype Timeline
Coca Cola is currently traded for 61.39on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Coca is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coca Cola is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.39. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2023. Coca Cola had 2:1 split on the 13th of August 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections.Coca Cola Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coca Cola's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coca Cola's future price movements. Getting to know how Coca Cola's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coca Cola may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 81M | COGNYTE SOFTWARE LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.58 | 0.04 | 4.03 | (4.49) | 16.02 | |
| CLH | CARDINAL HEALTH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | 0.18 | 2.75 | (1.56) | 19.32 | |
| VHY | Vishay Intertechnology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.04 | 6.44 | (4.65) | 13.06 | |
| Y7L | Robosense Technology Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.61 | 0.03 | 5.15 | (4.41) | 17.00 | |
| 5GH | GUARDANT HEALTH CL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.23 | 4.94 | (3.87) | 21.53 | |
| WX6 | National Health Investors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.01 | 2.31 | (2.27) | 6.97 | |
| 4C6 | Hutchison Telecommunications Hong | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.04 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 19.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coca Cola
For every potential investor in Coca, whether a beginner or expert, Coca Cola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca Cola's price trends.Coca Cola Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca Cola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca Cola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca Cola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coca Cola Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca Cola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca Cola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca Cola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Coca Cola entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Coca Cola Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coca Cola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca Cola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7886 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8594 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Variance | 1.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9332 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7386 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coca Cola
The number of cover stories for Coca Cola depends on current market conditions and Coca Cola's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coca Cola is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coca Cola's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca Stock
When determining whether Coca Cola offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Coca Cola's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of The Coca Cola Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on The Coca Cola Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.