CCCS Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CCCSDelisted Stock | USD 8.73 0.25 2.78% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CCCS Old on the next trading day is expected to be 8.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.09. CCCS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of CCCS Old's share price is approaching 41 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CCCS Old, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CCCS Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CCCS Old from the perspective of CCCS Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CCCS Old on the next trading day is expected to be 8.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.09. CCCS Old after-hype prediction price | $ 8.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CCCS |
CCCS Old Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CCCS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CCCS using various technical indicators. When you analyze CCCS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CCCS Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CCCS Old on the next trading day is expected to be 8.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CCCS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CCCS Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CCCS Old Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CCCS Old | CCCS Old Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CCCS Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CCCS Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3229 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1162 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.0869 |
Predictive Modules for CCCS Old
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCCS Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CCCS Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CCCS Old After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CCCS Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CCCS Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CCCS Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CCCS Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CCCS Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CCCS Old's historical news coverage. CCCS Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.20 and 10.14, respectively. We have considered CCCS Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CCCS Old is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CCCS Old is based on 3 months time horizon.
CCCS Old Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CCCS Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CCCS Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CCCS Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.24 | 1.97 | 0.56 | 0.47 | 27 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 27 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.73 | 8.17 | 6.41 |
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CCCS Old Hype Timeline
CCCS Old is currently traded for 8.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.56, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.47. CCCS is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.24%. The volatility of related hype on CCCS Old is about 525.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.20. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CCCS Old was currently reported as 3.29. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 27 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.CCCS Old Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CCCS Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CCCS Old's future price movements. Getting to know how CCCS Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CCCS Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| S | SentinelOne | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.42 | (3.75) | 19.38 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | (0.45) | 3 per month | 1.62 | 0.01 | 3.31 | (2.82) | 8.14 | |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments | 1.36 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.21 | (3.68) | 11.05 | |
| FROG | Jfrog | 0.85 | 10 per month | 2.42 | 0.06 | 6.25 | (4.10) | 31.58 | |
| ACIW | ACI Worldwide | (0.32) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.08 | (3.30) | 9.43 | |
| STNE | StoneCo | (0.45) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.17 | (6.88) | 15.52 | |
| BILL | Bill Com Holdings | (0.31) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.51 | (4.27) | 18.79 | |
| BOX | Box Inc | 2.33 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.76 | (3.61) | 11.36 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | 1.28 | 6 per month | 1.88 | (0) | 2.52 | (3.12) | 25.56 | |
| CAMT | Camtek | (0.45) | 16 per month | 3.04 | 0.06 | 7.61 | (5.48) | 15.59 |
CCCS Old Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CCCS Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CCCS Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CCCS Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CCCS Old Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CCCS Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CCCS Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CCCS Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CCCS Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CCCS Old Risk Indicators
The analysis of CCCS Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CCCS Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cccs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CCCS Old
The number of cover stories for CCCS Old depends on current market conditions and CCCS Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CCCS Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CCCS Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CCCS Old Short Properties
CCCS Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when CCCS Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CCCS Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CCCS Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CCCS Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 641.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 399 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in CCCS Stock
If you are still planning to invest in CCCS Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CCCS Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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