CCC Intelligent Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CCCS Stock  USD 12.47  0.13  1.05%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CCC Intelligent Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 12.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.59. CCC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, CCC Intelligent's Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 5.26 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 8.88 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 658.5 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 46.4 M in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the CCC Intelligent's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
195.6 M
Current Value
237.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
44.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for CCC Intelligent is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CCC Intelligent Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CCC Intelligent Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CCC Intelligent Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 12.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CCC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CCC Intelligent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CCC Intelligent Stock Forecast Pattern

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CCC Intelligent Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CCC Intelligent's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CCC Intelligent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.48 and 14.06, respectively. We have considered CCC Intelligent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.47
12.77
Expected Value
14.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CCC Intelligent stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CCC Intelligent stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0252
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1736
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0159
SAESum of the absolute errors10.5919
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CCC Intelligent Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CCC Intelligent. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CCC Intelligent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCC Intelligent Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CCC Intelligent's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1912.4813.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8513.1414.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.1111.8512.60
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CCC Intelligent

For every potential investor in CCC, whether a beginner or expert, CCC Intelligent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CCC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CCC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CCC Intelligent's price trends.

CCC Intelligent Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CCC Intelligent stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CCC Intelligent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CCC Intelligent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CCC Intelligent Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CCC Intelligent's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CCC Intelligent's current price.

CCC Intelligent Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CCC Intelligent stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CCC Intelligent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CCC Intelligent stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CCC Intelligent Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CCC Intelligent Risk Indicators

The analysis of CCC Intelligent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CCC Intelligent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ccc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for CCC Stock Analysis

When running CCC Intelligent's price analysis, check to measure CCC Intelligent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CCC Intelligent is operating at the current time. Most of CCC Intelligent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CCC Intelligent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CCC Intelligent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CCC Intelligent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.