CCL Industries Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

CCDBF Stock  USD 54.52  0.52  0.96%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CCL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 54.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.19. CCL Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CCL Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for CCL Industries works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

CCL Industries Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CCL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 54.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CCL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CCL Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CCL Industries Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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CCL Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CCL Industries' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CCL Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.04 and 55.58, respectively. We have considered CCL Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
54.52
54.31
Expected Value
55.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CCL Industries pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CCL Industries pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1433
MADMean absolute deviation0.6032
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0103
SAESum of the absolute errors36.1938
When CCL Industries prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any CCL Industries trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent CCL Industries observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CCL Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCL Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.2854.5255.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.0756.0257.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
52.6456.0359.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CCL Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CCL Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CCL Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CCL Industries.

Other Forecasting Options for CCL Industries

For every potential investor in CCL, whether a beginner or expert, CCL Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CCL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CCL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CCL Industries' price trends.

CCL Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CCL Industries pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CCL Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CCL Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CCL Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CCL Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CCL Industries' current price.

CCL Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CCL Industries pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CCL Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CCL Industries pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CCL Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CCL Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of CCL Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CCL Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ccl pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in CCL Pink Sheet

CCL Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether CCL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CCL with respect to the benefits of owning CCL Industries security.