Ccl Industries Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 55.62

CCDBF Stock  USD 55.62  0.27  0.49%   
CCL Industries' future price is the expected price of CCL Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CCL Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CCL Industries Backtesting, CCL Industries Valuation, CCL Industries Correlation, CCL Industries Hype Analysis, CCL Industries Volatility, CCL Industries History as well as CCL Industries Performance.
  
Please specify CCL Industries' target price for which you would like CCL Industries odds to be computed.

CCL Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 55.62

The tendency of CCL Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 55.62 90 days 55.62 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CCL Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This CCL Industries probability density function shows the probability of CCL Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CCL Industries has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CCL Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CCL Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CCL Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CCL Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CCL Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCL Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.1155.3556.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.2856.5257.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.1454.3855.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.1955.4455.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CCL Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CCL Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CCL Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CCL Industries.

CCL Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CCL Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CCL Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CCL Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CCL Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

CCL Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CCL Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CCL Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CCL Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

CCL Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CCL Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CCL Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CCL Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180.2 M

CCL Industries Technical Analysis

CCL Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CCL Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CCL Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing CCL Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CCL Industries Predictive Forecast Models

CCL Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many CCL Industries' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CCL Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CCL Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about CCL Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CCL Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CCL Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in CCL Pink Sheet

CCL Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether CCL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CCL with respect to the benefits of owning CCL Industries security.