Coca Cola Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CCH Stock   2,804  18.00  0.64%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coca Cola HBC on the next trading day is expected to be 2,841 with a mean absolute deviation of 28.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,717. Coca Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coca Cola stock prices and determine the direction of Coca Cola HBC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coca Cola's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Coca Cola's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 401.3 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 1 B.
A naive forecasting model for Coca Cola is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Coca Cola HBC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Coca Cola Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coca Cola HBC on the next trading day is expected to be 2,841 with a mean absolute deviation of 28.14, mean absolute percentage error of 1,264, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,717.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca Cola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca Cola Stock Forecast Pattern

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Coca Cola Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca Cola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca Cola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,840 and 2,842, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,804
2,841
Expected Value
2,842
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca Cola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca Cola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.2522
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation28.1423
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0102
SAESum of the absolute errors1716.6784
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Coca Cola HBC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Coca Cola. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola HBC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,8032,8042,805
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7792,7803,084
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,7302,7962,862
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.450.470.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Coca Cola

For every potential investor in Coca, whether a beginner or expert, Coca Cola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca Cola's price trends.

Coca Cola Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca Cola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca Cola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca Cola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca Cola HBC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coca Cola's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coca Cola's current price.

Coca Cola Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca Cola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca Cola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca Cola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coca Cola HBC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca Cola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca Cola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Coca Stock

Coca Cola financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coca with respect to the benefits of owning Coca Cola security.