Carlyle Credit Etf Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CCIF Etf | 4.07 0.45 9.96% |
Carlyle Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Carlyle Credit's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Carlyle Credit's share price is below 30 as of 3rd of February 2026 suggesting that the etf is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Carlyle Credit Income, making its price go up or down. Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Carlyle Credit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carlyle Credit Income from the perspective of Carlyle Credit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Carlyle Credit Income on the next trading day is expected to be 3.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.54. Carlyle Credit after-hype prediction price | USD 4.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carlyle Credit to cross-verify your projections. Carlyle Credit Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carlyle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlyle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carlyle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Carlyle Credit Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Carlyle Credit Income on the next trading day is expected to be 3.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carlyle Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carlyle Credit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Carlyle Credit Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Carlyle Credit | Carlyle Credit Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Carlyle Credit Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Carlyle Credit's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carlyle Credit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.08 and 5.74, respectively. We have considered Carlyle Credit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carlyle Credit etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carlyle Credit etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.01 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.06 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.5417 |
Predictive Modules for Carlyle Credit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlyle Credit Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carlyle Credit After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carlyle Credit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carlyle Credit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Carlyle Credit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carlyle Credit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carlyle Credit's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carlyle Credit's historical news coverage. Carlyle Credit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.19 and 5.85, respectively. We have considered Carlyle Credit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carlyle Credit is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carlyle Credit Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carlyle Credit Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Carlyle Credit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carlyle Credit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carlyle Credit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.83 | 0.02 | 0.37 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.07 | 4.52 | 0.00 |
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Carlyle Credit Hype Timeline
Carlyle Credit Income is currently traded for 4.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.37. Carlyle is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carlyle Credit is about 129.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.44. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carlyle Credit to cross-verify your projections.Carlyle Credit Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carlyle Credit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carlyle Credit's future price movements. Getting to know how Carlyle Credit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carlyle Credit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JLS | Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.28 | (0.02) | 0.71 | (0.49) | 2.42 | |
| AABPX | American Beacon Balanced | 2.44 | 1 per month | 0.43 | (0.03) | 0.88 | (0.71) | 2.54 | |
| IHD | Voya Emerging Markets | 7.34 | 3 per month | 0.69 | 0.09 | 1.50 | (1.30) | 3.65 | |
| TSDLX | T Rowe Price | 4.56 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 0.21 | (0.11) | 0.53 | |
| PCF | Putnam High Income | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.68 | (0.65) | 3.15 | |
| NMI | Nuveen Municipalome | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.43 | (0.09) | 0.60 | (0.88) | 3.17 | |
| ERH | Allspring Utilities And | (0.17) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.04 | (1.28) | 2.98 | |
| PGP | Pimco Global Stocksplus | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.57 | 0.12 | 1.44 | (0.84) | 3.94 | |
| CGO | Calamos Global Total | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.91 | 0.03 | 1.36 | (1.62) | 4.15 | |
| NMT | Nuveen Massachusetts Quality | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.35 | (0.02) | 0.88 | (0.78) | 2.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Carlyle Credit
For every potential investor in Carlyle, whether a beginner or expert, Carlyle Credit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carlyle Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carlyle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carlyle Credit's price trends.Carlyle Credit Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Carlyle Credit etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Carlyle Credit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carlyle Credit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Carlyle Credit Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carlyle Credit etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carlyle Credit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carlyle Credit etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Carlyle Credit Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Carlyle Credit Risk Indicators
The analysis of Carlyle Credit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Carlyle Credit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carlyle etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Carlyle Credit
The number of cover stories for Carlyle Credit depends on current market conditions and Carlyle Credit's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carlyle Credit is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carlyle Credit's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carlyle Credit to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Carlyle Credit Income's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Carlyle's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Carlyle Credit's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Carlyle Credit's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Carlyle Credit's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carlyle Credit should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Carlyle Credit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.