Carlyle Credit Income Etf Price Patterns
| CCIF Etf | 4.05 0.02 0.49% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Carlyle Credit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carlyle Credit Income from the perspective of Carlyle Credit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carlyle Credit to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carlyle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carlyle Credit after-hype prediction price | USD 4.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Carlyle Credit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Carlyle Credit After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carlyle Credit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carlyle Credit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Carlyle Credit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carlyle Credit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carlyle Credit's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carlyle Credit's historical news coverage. Carlyle Credit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.07 and 6.03, respectively. We have considered Carlyle Credit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carlyle Credit is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carlyle Credit Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carlyle Credit Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Carlyle Credit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carlyle Credit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carlyle Credit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.99 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.05 | 4.05 | 0.00 |
|
Carlyle Credit Hype Timeline
Carlyle Credit Income is currently traded for 4.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Carlyle is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carlyle Credit is about 6030.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.04. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Carlyle Credit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carlyle Credit Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carlyle Credit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carlyle Credit's future price movements. Getting to know how Carlyle Credit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carlyle Credit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JLS | Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.37 | (0.03) | 0.71 | (0.66) | 2.62 | |
| AABPX | American Beacon Balanced | (0.13) | 5 per month | 0.37 | 0.03 | 1.02 | (0.70) | 2.54 | |
| IHD | Voya Emerging Markets | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.60 | 0.13 | 1.50 | (1.30) | 3.52 | |
| TSDLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.21 | (0.11) | 0.53 | |
| PCF | Putnam High Income | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.68 | (0.65) | 3.15 | |
| NMI | Nuveen Municipalome | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.40 | (0.01) | 0.70 | (0.88) | 3.17 | |
| ERH | Allspring Utilities And | (0.17) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.02 | (1.28) | 2.98 | |
| PGP | Pimco Global Stocksplus | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.56 | 0.11 | 1.34 | (0.79) | 3.94 | |
| CGO | Calamos Global Total | 0.05 | 1 per month | 1.02 | 0 | 1.36 | (1.73) | 4.15 | |
| NMT | Nuveen Massachusetts Quality | (0.1) | 4 per month | 0.35 | 0 | 0.80 | (0.78) | 1.99 |
Carlyle Credit Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carlyle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlyle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carlyle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Carlyle Credit Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carlyle Credit stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carlyle Credit Income, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carlyle Credit based on analysis of Carlyle Credit hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carlyle Credit's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carlyle Credit's related companies.
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Check out Carlyle Credit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Carlyle Credit Income's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Carlyle's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Carlyle Credit's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Carlyle Credit's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Carlyle Credit's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carlyle Credit should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Carlyle Credit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.