Cohen Circle Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CCII Stock | 10.33 0.03 0.29% |
Cohen Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cohen Circle's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Cohen Circle's share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cohen Circle, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cohen Circle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cohen Circle Acquisition from the perspective of Cohen Circle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cohen Circle Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07. Cohen Circle after-hype prediction price | USD 10.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cohen Circle to cross-verify your projections. Cohen Circle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cohen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cohen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cohen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cohen Circle Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cohen Circle Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cohen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cohen Circle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cohen Circle Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cohen Circle | Cohen Circle Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cohen Circle Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cohen Circle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cohen Circle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.17 and 10.60, respectively. We have considered Cohen Circle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cohen Circle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cohen Circle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.5454 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0176 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0017 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.0737 |
Predictive Modules for Cohen Circle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cohen Circle Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cohen Circle After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cohen Circle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cohen Circle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cohen Circle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cohen Circle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cohen Circle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cohen Circle's historical news coverage. Cohen Circle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.11 and 10.55, respectively. We have considered Cohen Circle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cohen Circle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cohen Circle Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cohen Circle Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cohen Circle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cohen Circle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cohen Circle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.33 | 10.33 | 0.00 |
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Cohen Circle Hype Timeline
Cohen Circle Acquisition is currently traded for 10.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cohen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cohen Circle is about 112.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.33. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cohen Circle to cross-verify your projections.Cohen Circle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cohen Circle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cohen Circle's future price movements. Getting to know how Cohen Circle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cohen Circle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCCM | CCCM Old | (0.94) | 4 per month | 4.08 | 0.01 | 3.12 | (1.43) | 47.83 | |
| KFII | KF Growth Acquisition | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.04 | (0.41) | 0.29 | (0.19) | 0.97 | |
| CHAC | Crane Harbor Acquisition | (1.10) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.22 | (2.61) | 17.55 | |
| CEPT | Cantor Equity Partners | 0.02 | 7 per month | 1.61 | 0 | 3.41 | (2.43) | 13.46 | |
| TACH | Titan Acquisition Corp | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.09 | (0.30) | 0.39 | (0.39) | 1.07 | |
| GIG | GigCapital7 Corp Class | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.53) | 0.19 | (0.37) | 1.12 | |
| OYSE | Oyster Enterprises II | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.40 | (0.39) | 0.99 | |
| CUB | Lionheart Holdings | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.28 | (0.28) | 0.85 | |
| RTAC | Renatus Tactical Acquisition | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.81 | (1.30) | 4.67 | |
| TVA | Texas Ventures Acquisition | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.95 | (1.09) | 4.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cohen Circle
For every potential investor in Cohen, whether a beginner or expert, Cohen Circle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cohen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cohen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cohen Circle's price trends.Cohen Circle Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cohen Circle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cohen Circle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cohen Circle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cohen Circle Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cohen Circle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cohen Circle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cohen Circle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cohen Circle Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cohen Circle Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cohen Circle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cohen Circle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cohen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1564 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2154 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2212 | |||
| Variance | 0.0489 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0866 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0464 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cohen Circle
The number of cover stories for Cohen Circle depends on current market conditions and Cohen Circle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cohen Circle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cohen Circle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cohen Circle Short Properties
Cohen Circle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cohen Circle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cohen Circle Acquisition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cohen Circle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cohen Circle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3392 | |
| Shares Float | 23.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cohen Circle to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is there potential for Diversified Capital Markets market expansion? Will Cohen introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cohen Circle. Projected growth potential of Cohen fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Cohen Circle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Cohen Circle Acquisition's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Cohen's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Cohen Circle's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Cohen Circle's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cohen Circle's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cohen Circle should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Cohen Circle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.