Cameco Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CCJ Stock | USD 123.39 10.28 7.69% |
Cameco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cameco Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cameco Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cameco Corp fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Cameco Corp's stock price is nearly 62 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cameco, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.214 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3778 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3933 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9516 | Wall Street Target Price 111.9965 |
Using Cameco Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cameco Corp from the perspective of Cameco Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cameco Corp using Cameco Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cameco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cameco Corp's stock price.
Cameco Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cameco Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cameco. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cameco Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 79.6799 | Short Percent 0.0236 | Short Ratio 1.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.4 M | 50 Day MA 99.6064 |
Cameco Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cameco Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 123.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.58.Cameco Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cameco Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cameco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cameco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cameco Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cameco Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cameco Corp.
Cameco Corp Implied Volatility | 0.8 |
Cameco Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cameco Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cameco Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cameco Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cameco Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cameco Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 123.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.58. Cameco Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 120.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cameco Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cameco contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cameco Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.05% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cameco Corp trading at USD 123.39, that is roughly USD 0.0617 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cameco Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cameco Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cameco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cameco Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cameco Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cameco Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cameco Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cameco Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cameco Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cameco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cameco Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cameco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cameco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cameco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cameco Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cameco Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 123.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.98, mean absolute percentage error of 13.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cameco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cameco Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cameco Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cameco Corp | Cameco Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cameco Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cameco Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cameco Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 120.35 and 126.43, respectively. We have considered Cameco Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cameco Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cameco Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0602 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.706 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.976 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0299 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 175.585 |
Predictive Modules for Cameco Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cameco Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cameco Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cameco Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cameco Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cameco Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cameco Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cameco Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cameco Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cameco Corp's historical news coverage. Cameco Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 117.82 and 123.90, respectively. We have considered Cameco Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cameco Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cameco Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cameco Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cameco Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cameco Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cameco Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 3.04 | 2.53 | 0.23 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
123.39 | 120.86 | 2.05 |
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Cameco Corp Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Cameco Corp is traded for 123.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Cameco is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 120.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 54.09%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Cameco Corp is about 589.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 123.62. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 116.1. Cameco Corp last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 23rd of February 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cameco Corp to cross-verify your projections.Cameco Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cameco Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cameco Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Cameco Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cameco Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMO | Imperial Oil | 2.87 | 11 per month | 1.78 | 0.07 | 2.96 | (3.32) | 8.01 | |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | (0.73) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.05 | 3.01 | (2.59) | 8.06 | |
| OKE | ONEOK Inc | 0.53 | 10 per month | 1.26 | 0.13 | 2.45 | (2.33) | 6.82 | |
| LNG | Cheniere Energy | 1.81 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.95 | (2.08) | 4.88 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | (0.37) | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.29 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 | |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | 0.09 | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.09 | 3.34 | (2.78) | 7.95 | |
| BKR | Baker Hughes Co | 0.11 | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.13 | 4.04 | (3.68) | 8.14 | |
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | 0.74 | 7 per month | 0.69 | 0.18 | 2.24 | (1.30) | 5.93 | |
| MPLX | MPLX LP | (0.35) | 9 per month | 0.84 | 0.13 | 1.73 | (1.73) | 4.74 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | 0.46 | 8 per month | 0.65 | 0.12 | 2.22 | (1.33) | 3.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cameco Corp
For every potential investor in Cameco, whether a beginner or expert, Cameco Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cameco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cameco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cameco Corp's price trends.Cameco Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cameco Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cameco Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cameco Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cameco Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cameco Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cameco Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cameco Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cameco Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0667 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.18) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 125.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 125.05 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 8.69 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (7.63) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (10.28) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.62 |
Cameco Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cameco Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cameco Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cameco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.15 | |||
| Variance | 17.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cameco Corp
The number of cover stories for Cameco Corp depends on current market conditions and Cameco Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cameco Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cameco Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cameco Corp Short Properties
Cameco Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cameco Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cameco Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cameco Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cameco Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 436 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 600.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cameco Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Cameco Stock please use our How to buy in Cameco Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
What growth prospects exist in Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector? Can Cameco capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cameco Corp. Projected growth potential of Cameco fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Cameco Corp valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.214 | Dividend Share 0.16 | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Understanding Cameco Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cameco's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Cameco Corp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cameco Corp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cameco Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cameco Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cameco Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.