Cardinal Infrastructure Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| CDNL Stock | USD 24.56 0.27 1.09% |
Cardinal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cardinal Infrastructure's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cardinal Infrastructure's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cardinal Infrastructure fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength momentum indicator of Cardinal Infrastructure's share price is approaching 42 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cardinal Infrastructure, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.602 |
Using Cardinal Infrastructure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cardinal Infrastructure Group from the perspective of Cardinal Infrastructure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Infrastructure Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.92. Cardinal Infrastructure after-hype prediction price | USD 24.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections. Cardinal Infrastructure Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cardinal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cardinal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cardinal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cardinal Infrastructure Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Infrastructure Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cardinal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cardinal Infrastructure's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cardinal Infrastructure Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cardinal Infrastructure | Cardinal Infrastructure Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cardinal Infrastructure Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cardinal Infrastructure's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cardinal Infrastructure's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.60 and 27.27, respectively. We have considered Cardinal Infrastructure's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cardinal Infrastructure stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cardinal Infrastructure stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 94.7059 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9982 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0394 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.9152 |
Predictive Modules for Cardinal Infrastructure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cardinal Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cardinal Infrastructure After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cardinal Infrastructure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cardinal Infrastructure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cardinal Infrastructure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cardinal Infrastructure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cardinal Infrastructure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cardinal Infrastructure's historical news coverage. Cardinal Infrastructure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.24 and 29.00, respectively. We have considered Cardinal Infrastructure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cardinal Infrastructure is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cardinal Infrastructure is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cardinal Infrastructure Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cardinal Infrastructure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cardinal Infrastructure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cardinal Infrastructure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 4.34 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.56 | 24.62 | 0.24 |
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Cardinal Infrastructure Hype Timeline
Cardinal Infrastructure is currently traded for 24.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Cardinal is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 24.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Cardinal Infrastructure is about 472.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.73. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 395.16 M. Net Income was 9.79 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.25 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections.Cardinal Infrastructure Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cardinal Infrastructure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cardinal Infrastructure's future price movements. Getting to know how Cardinal Infrastructure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cardinal Infrastructure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPAIF | Grounded People Apparel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NXST | Nexstar Broadcasting Group | 0.30 | 20 per month | 1.17 | 0.17 | 3.23 | (2.15) | 10.63 | |
| TSEM | Tower Semiconductor | 7.07 | 8 per month | 3.56 | 0.08 | 5.57 | (7.02) | 16.66 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | (0.02) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.01 | 5.13 | (4.00) | 12.93 | |
| MBRFY | Marfrig Global Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.22 | (4.63) | 22.09 | |
| DKGR | Universal Apparel Textile | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| COUTF | China Outfitters Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GZITF | Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cardinal Infrastructure
For every potential investor in Cardinal, whether a beginner or expert, Cardinal Infrastructure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cardinal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cardinal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cardinal Infrastructure's price trends.Cardinal Infrastructure Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cardinal Infrastructure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cardinal Infrastructure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cardinal Infrastructure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cardinal Infrastructure Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cardinal Infrastructure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cardinal Infrastructure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cardinal Infrastructure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cardinal Infrastructure Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cardinal Infrastructure Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cardinal Infrastructure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cardinal Infrastructure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cardinal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.34 | |||
| Variance | 18.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cardinal Infrastructure
The number of cover stories for Cardinal Infrastructure depends on current market conditions and Cardinal Infrastructure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cardinal Infrastructure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cardinal Infrastructure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cardinal Infrastructure. Projected growth potential of Cardinal fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Cardinal Infrastructure assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Cardinal Infrastructure requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cardinal's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Cardinal Infrastructure's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cardinal Infrastructure's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cardinal Infrastructure's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cardinal Infrastructure should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cardinal Infrastructure's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.