Cidara Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CDTX Stock | USD 220.89 0.09 0.04% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cidara Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 220.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.34. Cidara Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of Cidara Therapeutics' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.49) | EPS Estimate Current Year (8.07) | EPS Estimate Next Year (6.29) | Wall Street Target Price 221.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.33) |
Using Cidara Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cidara Therapeutics from the perspective of Cidara Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cidara Therapeutics using Cidara Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cidara using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cidara Therapeutics' stock price.
Cidara Therapeutics Short Interest
An investor who is long Cidara Therapeutics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cidara Therapeutics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cidara Therapeutics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 80.7044 | Short Percent 0.0643 | Short Ratio 1.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 177.792 |
Cidara Therapeutics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cidara Therapeutics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cidara. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cidara can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cidara Therapeutics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cidara Therapeutics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cidara Therapeutics.
Cidara Therapeutics Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Cidara Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cidara Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cidara Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cidara Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cidara Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cidara Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 220.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.34. Cidara Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 220.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cidara Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Cidara Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cidara Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cidara Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cidara Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cidara Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Cidara Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cidara Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cidara. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cidara Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cidara price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cidara using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cidara charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cidara Therapeutics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cidara Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 220.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.57, mean absolute percentage error of 216.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cidara Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cidara Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cidara Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cidara Therapeutics | Cidara Therapeutics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cidara Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cidara Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cidara Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 207.22 and 234.56, respectively. We have considered Cidara Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cidara Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cidara Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.6495 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.9787 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.5723 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 214.34 |
Predictive Modules for Cidara Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cidara Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cidara Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Cidara Therapeutics
For every potential investor in Cidara, whether a beginner or expert, Cidara Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cidara Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cidara. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cidara Therapeutics' price trends.Cidara Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cidara Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cidara Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cidara Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cidara Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cidara Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cidara Therapeutics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cidara Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cidara Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cidara Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cidara Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cidara Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cidara Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cidara Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cidara Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cidara stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.27 | |||
| Variance | 176.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Additional Tools for Cidara Stock Analysis
When running Cidara Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Cidara Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cidara Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Cidara Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cidara Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cidara Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cidara Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.