Cenntro Electric Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CENN Stock | USD 1.21 0.04 3.20% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cenntro Electric Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.90. Cenntro Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Cenntro Electric's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cenntro Electric's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cenntro Electric fundamentals over time.
Cenntro |
Cenntro Electric Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cenntro Electric Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cenntro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cenntro Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cenntro Electric Stock Forecast Pattern
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Cenntro Electric Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cenntro Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cenntro Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.83, respectively. We have considered Cenntro Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cenntro Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cenntro Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5224 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0306 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0245 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.8977 |
Predictive Modules for Cenntro Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cenntro Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Cenntro Electric
For every potential investor in Cenntro, whether a beginner or expert, Cenntro Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cenntro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cenntro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cenntro Electric's price trends.Cenntro Electric Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cenntro Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cenntro Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cenntro Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cenntro Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cenntro Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cenntro Electric's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Cenntro Electric Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cenntro Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cenntro Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cenntro Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cenntro Electric Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6284.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.57) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Cenntro Electric Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cenntro Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cenntro Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cenntro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Cenntro Electric offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cenntro Electric's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cenntro Electric Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cenntro Electric Group Stock: Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cenntro Electric to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cenntro Electric. If investors know Cenntro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cenntro Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.32) | Revenue Per Share 1.2 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.903 | Return On Assets (0.15) | Return On Equity (0.35) |
The market value of Cenntro Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cenntro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cenntro Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cenntro Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cenntro Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cenntro Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cenntro Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cenntro Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cenntro Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.