Chinese Estates Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CESTY Stock  USD 3.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chinese Estates Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Chinese Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Chinese Estates is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Chinese Estates Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chinese Estates Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chinese Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chinese Estates' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chinese Estates Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Chinese Estates Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chinese Estates' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chinese Estates' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.50 and 3.50, respectively. We have considered Chinese Estates' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.50
3.50
Expected Value
3.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chinese Estates pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chinese Estates pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Chinese Estates Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Chinese Estates. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Chinese Estates

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chinese Estates Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chinese Estates' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.503.503.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.503.503.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chinese Estates

For every potential investor in Chinese, whether a beginner or expert, Chinese Estates' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chinese Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chinese. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chinese Estates' price trends.

Chinese Estates Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chinese Estates pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chinese Estates could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chinese Estates by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chinese Estates Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chinese Estates' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chinese Estates' current price.

Chinese Estates Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chinese Estates pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chinese Estates shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chinese Estates pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Chinese Estates Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Chinese Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Chinese Estates' price analysis, check to measure Chinese Estates' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chinese Estates is operating at the current time. Most of Chinese Estates' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chinese Estates' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chinese Estates' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chinese Estates to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.