Chinese Estates Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| CESTY Stock | USD 3.50 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Chinese Estates Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Chinese Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Chinese Estates' share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chinese Estates hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chinese Estates Holdings from the perspective of Chinese Estates response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Chinese Estates Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Chinese Estates after-hype prediction price | USD 3.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chinese |
Chinese Estates Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chinese price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chinese using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chinese charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chinese Estates Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Chinese Estates Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chinese Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chinese Estates' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chinese Estates Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Chinese Estates Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chinese Estates' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chinese Estates' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.50 and 3.50, respectively. We have considered Chinese Estates' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chinese Estates pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chinese Estates pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Chinese Estates
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chinese Estates Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chinese Estates' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chinese Estates After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chinese Estates at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chinese Estates or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Chinese Estates, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chinese Estates Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chinese Estates' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chinese Estates' historical news coverage. Chinese Estates' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.50 and 3.50, respectively. We have considered Chinese Estates' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chinese Estates is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chinese Estates Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chinese Estates Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chinese Estates is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chinese Estates backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chinese Estates, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
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Chinese Estates Hype Timeline
Chinese Estates Holdings is currently traded for 3.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chinese is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chinese Estates is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.50. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Chinese Estates Holdings recorded a loss per share of 4.7. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chinese Estates to cross-verify your projections.Chinese Estates Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chinese Estates' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chinese Estates' future price movements. Getting to know how Chinese Estates' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chinese Estates may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABGSF | ABG Sundal Collier | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.24 | |
| IMMFF | Omni Bridgeway Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.26 | |
| TRKYY | Trkiye Sinai Kalkinma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OITAF | The Oita Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PBAM | Private Bancorp of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.39 | 0.08 | 1.25 | (0.92) | 4.78 | |
| FCMGF | Firm Capital Mortgage | (0.16) | 11 per month | 1.01 | (0.02) | 1.93 | (2.50) | 6.06 | |
| FNCSF | North American Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.88 | 0.09 | 3.95 | (3.65) | 25.61 | |
| SRXXF | SPARX Group Co | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.02 | |
| KCHV | Kochav Defense Acquisition | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.09 | (0.49) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.79 | |
| APPCF | APAC Resources Limited | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chinese Estates
For every potential investor in Chinese, whether a beginner or expert, Chinese Estates' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chinese Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chinese. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chinese Estates' price trends.Chinese Estates Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chinese Estates pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chinese Estates could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chinese Estates by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chinese Estates Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chinese Estates pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chinese Estates shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chinese Estates pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Chinese Estates Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Chinese Estates
The number of cover stories for Chinese Estates depends on current market conditions and Chinese Estates' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chinese Estates is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chinese Estates' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chinese Estates Short Properties
Chinese Estates' future price predictability will typically decrease when Chinese Estates' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chinese Estates Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chinese Estates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chinese Estates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 19.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.6 B |
Additional Tools for Chinese Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Chinese Estates' price analysis, check to measure Chinese Estates' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chinese Estates is operating at the current time. Most of Chinese Estates' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chinese Estates' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chinese Estates' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chinese Estates to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.