Centrum Finansowe Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CFS Stock | 5.30 0.20 3.92% |
Centrum Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Centrum Finansowe's share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Centrum Finansowe, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Centrum Finansowe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centrum Finansowe Banku from the perspective of Centrum Finansowe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centrum Finansowe Banku on the next trading day is expected to be 5.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.37. Centrum Finansowe after-hype prediction price | PLN 5.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Centrum |
Centrum Finansowe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Centrum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centrum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centrum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Centrum Finansowe Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centrum Finansowe Banku on the next trading day is expected to be 5.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centrum Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centrum Finansowe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Centrum Finansowe Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Centrum Finansowe | Centrum Finansowe Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Centrum Finansowe Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Centrum Finansowe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centrum Finansowe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.37 and 8.17, respectively. We have considered Centrum Finansowe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centrum Finansowe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centrum Finansowe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2551 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.01 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0895 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.017 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.3684 |
Predictive Modules for Centrum Finansowe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centrum Finansowe Banku. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Centrum Finansowe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Centrum Finansowe After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Centrum Finansowe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centrum Finansowe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centrum Finansowe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Centrum Finansowe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Centrum Finansowe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centrum Finansowe's historical news coverage. Centrum Finansowe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.40 and 8.20, respectively. We have considered Centrum Finansowe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Centrum Finansowe is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centrum Finansowe Banku is based on 3 months time horizon.
Centrum Finansowe Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centrum Finansowe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centrum Finansowe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centrum Finansowe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.30 | 5.30 | 0.00 |
|
Centrum Finansowe Hype Timeline
Centrum Finansowe Banku is currently traded for 5.30on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Centrum is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Centrum Finansowe is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.30. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centrum Finansowe to cross-verify your projections.Centrum Finansowe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Centrum Finansowe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centrum Finansowe's future price movements. Getting to know how Centrum Finansowe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centrum Finansowe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWM | SOFTWARE MANSION SPOLKA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.83 | (4.15) | 14.09 | |
| QNT | Quantum Software SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.60 | 0.11 | 5.76 | (5.41) | 35.98 | |
| LSI | LSI Software SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.12 | 4.73 | (2.41) | 10.15 | |
| CRI | Creotech Instruments SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.18 | 7.29 | (3.52) | 19.07 | |
| FHB | FoodHub Spolka Akcyjna | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.46 | (2.79) | 11.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Centrum Finansowe
For every potential investor in Centrum, whether a beginner or expert, Centrum Finansowe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centrum Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centrum. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centrum Finansowe's price trends.Centrum Finansowe Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centrum Finansowe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centrum Finansowe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centrum Finansowe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Centrum Finansowe Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centrum Finansowe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centrum Finansowe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centrum Finansowe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centrum Finansowe Banku entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.2 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.84 |
Centrum Finansowe Risk Indicators
The analysis of Centrum Finansowe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Centrum Finansowe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centrum stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.78 | |||
| Variance | 7.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Centrum Finansowe
The number of cover stories for Centrum Finansowe depends on current market conditions and Centrum Finansowe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centrum Finansowe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centrum Finansowe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Centrum Finansowe Short Properties
Centrum Finansowe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Centrum Finansowe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Centrum Finansowe Banku often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Centrum Finansowe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centrum Finansowe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt Total | 13 M |
Additional Tools for Centrum Stock Analysis
When running Centrum Finansowe's price analysis, check to measure Centrum Finansowe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centrum Finansowe is operating at the current time. Most of Centrum Finansowe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centrum Finansowe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centrum Finansowe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centrum Finansowe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.