Chemed Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CHE Stock | USD 435.27 8.13 1.90% |
Chemed Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chemed Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Chemed Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Chemed Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Chemed Corp's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chemed Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.925 | EPS Estimate Current Year 22.1525 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.41 | Wall Street Target Price 555.5 |
Using Chemed Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chemed Corp from the perspective of Chemed Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chemed Corp using Chemed Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chemed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chemed Corp's stock price.
Chemed Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Chemed Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Chemed. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Chemed Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 475.3317 | Short Percent 0.0511 | Short Ratio 4.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 655.2 K | 50 Day MA 436.0654 |
Chemed Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chemed Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 435.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 277.09.Chemed Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Chemed Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chemed. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chemed can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chemed Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chemed Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chemed Corp.
Chemed Corp Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Chemed Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chemed Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chemed Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chemed Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chemed Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chemed Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 435.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 277.09. Chemed Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 435.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chemed Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Chemed contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Chemed Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Chemed Corp trading at USD 435.27, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Chemed Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Chemed Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Chemed Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Chemed Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Chemed Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Chemed Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Chemed Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Chemed Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Chemed Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Chemed. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Chemed Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chemed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chemed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chemed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chemed Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chemed Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 435.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.62, mean absolute percentage error of 33.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 277.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chemed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chemed Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chemed Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chemed Corp | Chemed Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Chemed Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chemed Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chemed Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 434.02 and 436.52, respectively. We have considered Chemed Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chemed Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chemed Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7748 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.079 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.6182 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 277.09 |
Predictive Modules for Chemed Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chemed Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chemed Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chemed Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chemed Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chemed Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chemed Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chemed Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chemed Corp's historical news coverage. Chemed Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 434.03 and 436.51, respectively. We have considered Chemed Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chemed Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chemed Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chemed Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chemed Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chemed Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chemed Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
435.27 | 435.27 | 0.00 |
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Chemed Corp Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Chemed Corp is traded for 435.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chemed is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 100.81%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chemed Corp is about 490.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 435.27. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.69. Chemed Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 18.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of May 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chemed Corp to cross-verify your projections.Chemed Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chemed Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chemed Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Chemed Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chemed Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPCH | Option Care Health | 0.28 | 11 per month | 1.69 | 0.12 | 4.34 | (1.84) | 10.82 | |
| STVN | Stevanato Group SpA | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.36 | (4.32) | 15.63 | |
| DVA | DaVita HealthCare Partners | 2.40 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.96 | (3.23) | 9.36 | |
| MTSR | Metsera Common Stock | (0.13) | 8 per month | 2.40 | 0.17 | 14.25 | (4.09) | 75.60 | |
| BTSG | BrightSpring Health Services | 0.75 | 13 per month | 1.97 | 0.11 | 3.11 | (3.70) | 9.60 | |
| ATR | AptarGroup | 1.24 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.73 | (2.49) | 6.75 | |
| TFX | Teleflex Incorporated | (4.66) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.48 | (3.77) | 22.60 | |
| HSIC | Henry Schein | 1.24 | 2 per month | 1.23 | 0.12 | 2.43 | (2.33) | 13.60 | |
| BRKR | Bruker | (1.17) | 13 per month | 2.17 | 0.07 | 4.93 | (3.76) | 12.82 | |
| NUVL | Nuvalent | (2.37) | 9 per month | 2.88 | 0.01 | 4.10 | (4.96) | 17.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chemed Corp
For every potential investor in Chemed, whether a beginner or expert, Chemed Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chemed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chemed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chemed Corp's price trends.Chemed Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chemed Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chemed Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chemed Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chemed Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chemed Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chemed Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chemed Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chemed Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Chemed Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chemed Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chemed Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chemed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Chemed Corp
The number of cover stories for Chemed Corp depends on current market conditions and Chemed Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chemed Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chemed Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chemed Corp Short Properties
Chemed Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chemed Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chemed Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chemed Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chemed Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 178.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chemed Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Chemed Stock refer to our How to Trade Chemed Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could Chemed diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chemed Corp. Projected growth potential of Chemed fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Chemed Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Dividend Share 2.1 | Earnings Share 18.89 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
The market value of Chemed Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chemed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chemed Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chemed Corp's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Chemed Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chemed Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Chemed Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Chemed Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Chemed Corp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.